默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Mystics v Phoenix Mercury

2026-08-09 19:00 UTC — WNBA

胜负盘

22 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Mystics (主队)

预测 50.42%1.98公平赔率
EV -3.71%
优势 -1.94%
Kelly -4.07%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
49.32%50.50%50.20%52.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.871.871.9155.56%53.33%53.48%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

Phoenix Mercury (客队)

预测 49.58%2.02公平赔率
EV +0.162%
优势 +0.080%
Kelly +0.159%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.02

博彩公司预测分布
47.53%49.50%49.80%50.68%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.921.912.0255.56%52.15%52.36%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:Washington Mystics (主队):50.42%;Phoenix Mercury (客队):49.58%。 对于“Phoenix Mercury (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.017。 有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率;当前最佳赔率为2.020,由此产生+0.162%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
1xBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.47%EV -7.74%E -4.23%K -9.33%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.53%EV +0.162%E +0.080%K +0.159%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 03:20
FanDuel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -6.73%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -2.81%E -1.44%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 03:05
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.72%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.31%E -1.70%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 03:35
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -5.72%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -3.31%E -1.70%K -3.48%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 08:32
SportsBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.73%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.31%E -1.70%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 04:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -5.72%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -3.81%E -1.96%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 03:40
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -6.23%E -3.35%K -7.24%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -3.81%E -1.96%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 03:40
Coolbet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -6.73%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -4.30%E -2.23%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 03:40
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.71%E -1.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 04:15
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.71%E -1.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 03:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.71%E -1.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 03:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.71%E -1.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 03:35
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.71%E -1.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 03:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.71%E -1.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 03:50
GTbets🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.71%E -1.94%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 08:29
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.21%E -2.22%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-08 03:35
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.25%E -5.14%K -11.57%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -5.29%E -2.77%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-08 04:35
Betsson🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.79%E -3.05%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 03:35
NordicBet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -5.22%E -2.78%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -5.79%E -3.05%K -6.43%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 03:35
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -6.73%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -6.28%E -3.33%K -7.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 03:35
BoyleSports🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.72%E -3.06%K -6.58%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.28%E -3.89%K -8.36%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 03:35
LeoVegas🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.32%EV -6.73%E -3.64%K -7.92%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.68%EV -10.75%E -5.97%K -13.43%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-08 03:35
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-08 08:35
Kalshi1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.1%2026-08-08 08:00
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%6.6%2026-08-08 08:35