默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Mystics v Phoenix Mercury

开赛时间: 2026-08-09 19:04 UTC

最终结果: Washington Mystics 95–75 Phoenix Mercury

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Washington Mystics (主队)

预测 51.98%1.92公平赔率
EV -1.23%
优势 -0.647%
Kelly -1.37%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.90

博彩公司预测分布
50.53%51.92%52.11%53.62%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.721.831.831.9058.14%54.75%54.64%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值

Phoenix Mercury (客队)

预测 48.02%2.08公平赔率
EV -1.57%
优势 -0.765%
Kelly -1.49%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.05

博彩公司预测分布
46.38%48.08%47.89%49.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.871.981.992.0553.48%50.54%50.25%48.78%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Washington Mystics (主队):51.98%;Phoenix Mercury (客队):48.02%。 对于“Washington Mystics (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.92。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.90,期望值为-1.23%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -1.23%E -0.647%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 18:48
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -1.23%E -0.647%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 18:48
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.27%E -1.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 19:00
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55%EV -2.79%E -1.49%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45%EV -4.45%E -2.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 18:50
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.79%E -1.49%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 19:00
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.79%E -1.49%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 19:00
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:00
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:00
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:00
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:00
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.85%E -3.53%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 18:00
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.85%E -3.53%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:49
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:50
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:55
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:39
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 18:55
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 18:54
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.01%E -1.49%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.45%E -2.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.91%E -3.26%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.01%E -1.49%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 18:50
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.57%E -0.765%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 18:55
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.57%E -0.765%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 18:40
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.57%E -0.765%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 19:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.01%E -1.49%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 18:33
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 18:49
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 18:10
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 19:00
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 18:29
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 18:45
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -10.21%E -5.46%K -11.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.07%E -5.82%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 15:40
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -10.59%E -6.16%K -14.70%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -7.33%E -3.80%K -7.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 19:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
ProphetX◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.86%0.9%2026-08-09 19:00
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-09 19:00
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-09 19:00
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-09 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-08-09 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-08-09 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-08-09 19:00
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-08-09 18:55