Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Mystics v Phoenix Mercury

Início: 2026-08-09 19:04 UTC

Final: Washington Mystics 95–75 Phoenix Mercury

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Mystics (Local)

Previsão 51.98%1.92odd justa
EV -1.23%
Vantagem -0.647%
Kelly -1.37%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
50.53%51.92%52.11%53.62%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.721.831.831.9058.14%54.75%54.64%52.63%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)

Previsão 48.02%2.08odd justa
EV -1.57%
Vantagem -0.765%
Kelly -1.49%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.38%48.08%47.89%49.47%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.871.981.992.0553.48%50.54%50.25%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Mystics (Local): 51.98%; Phoenix Mercury (Visitante): 48.02%. Para Washington Mystics (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.92. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.90, com valor esperado de -1.23%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bet Victor🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -1.23%E -0.647%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 18:48
betano_uk🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%EV -1.23%E -0.647%K -1.37%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-09 18:48
Unibet (UK)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.91%EV -2.27%E -1.21%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.09%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 19:00
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.55%EV -2.79%E -1.49%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 48.45%EV -4.45%E -2.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 18:50
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -2.79%E -1.49%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 19:00
Betway🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.79%E -1.49%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.29%E -4.34%K -9.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 19:00
ReBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 19:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:00
Unibet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:00
betPARX🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:00
Bally Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 18:00
TABtouch🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.85%E -3.53%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 18:00
BetRivers🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.83%E -2.07%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -6.85%E -3.53%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 18:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 17:24
Caesars🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:49
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:40
BetMGM🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:54
LowVig.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:54
BetOnline.ag🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:50
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:55
Bovada🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 18:39
Bet Right🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 18:55
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 18:54
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -4.87%E -2.66%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 18:54
DraftKings🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -3.01%E -1.49%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 18:45
Betr (AU)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 52.23%EV -5.39%E -2.96%K -6.57%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.77%EV -4.45%E -2.24%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-09 18:55
FanDuel🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 52.74%EV -5.91%E -3.26%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.26%EV -3.01%E -1.49%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 18:50
Fanatics🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.57%E -0.765%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 18:55
1xBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.57%E -0.765%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 18:40
BetAnything🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -1.57%E -0.765%K -1.49%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 19:00
MyBookie.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -3.01%E -1.49%K -2.95%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 18:33
SportsBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 18:49
888sport🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 18:10
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 18:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 18:10
TAB🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 19:00
Coolbet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -4.93%E -2.49%K -5.03%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-09 18:29
Betsson🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 18:45
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 17:25
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.43%E -3.57%K -8.04%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.37%E -3.27%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 18:45
PMU (FR)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -7.99%E -4.51%K -10.37%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -10.21%E -5.46%K -11.74%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 18:00
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -10.07%E -5.82%K -13.79%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -3.97%E -1.98%K -3.97%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-09 15:40
LeoVegas🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -10.59%E -6.16%K -14.70%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -7.33%E -3.80%K -7.88%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-09 19:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎1.90I 52.63%NM 52.14%2.07I 48.31%NM 47.86%0.9%2026-08-09 19:00
Novig◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-09 19:00
Matchbook◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-08-09 19:00
Polymarket◎1.85I 54.05%NM 53.52%2.13I 46.95%NM 46.48%1.0%2026-08-09 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.88I 53.19%NM 52.53%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.47%1.3%2026-08-09 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-08-09 19:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.89I 52.91%NM 52.15%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.85%1.5%2026-08-09 19:00
Kalshi◎1.85I 54.05%NM 52.93%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.07%2.1%2026-08-09 18:55