Language:English
Washington Mystics v New York Liberty
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Mystics (Local)
Prediction 32.90%3.04fair odd
EV +3.65%
Edge +1.16%
Kelly +1.70%
Growth +0.062%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.16%32.81%32.95%34.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.942.913.1536.36%34.01%34.36%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New York Liberty (Visit)
Prediction 67.10%1.49fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -6.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.45
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.48%67.19%67.05%69.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.291.411.421.4577.52%71.12%70.42%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Mystics (Local): 32.90%; New York Liberty (Visit): 67.10%. For Washington Mystics (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.04. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:04 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV +0.358%E +0.118%K +0.175%G +0.001% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-10 18:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -1.29%E -0.429%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.71%E -1.87%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-10 18:48 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.29%E -0.429%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.72%E -3.33%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 17:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.29%E -0.429%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.40%E -3.83%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 18:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.29%E -0.429%K -0.643%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.07%E -4.33%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -1.94%E -0.653%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.07%E -4.33%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 18:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -1.94%E -0.653%K -0.982%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -7.41%E -5.37%K -19.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 18:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.93%E -0.994%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 19:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.93%E -0.994%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 17:28 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.93%E -0.994%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 16:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.93%E -0.994%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 16:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.93%E -0.994%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.92%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-10 16:58 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 15:34 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 18:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.72%E -3.33%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 18:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-10 18:54 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.94%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -13.45%E -10.42%K -46.37%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 18:05 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -5.56%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 18:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -5.56%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -4.72%E -3.33%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.89%E -2.06%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.71%E -1.87%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 18:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 18:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 18:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 18:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.72%E -3.33%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-10 18:18 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.40%E -3.83%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 18:24 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.83I 35.34%NM 33.88%EV -6.88%E -2.43%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.12%EV -2.71%E -1.87%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-10 18:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.72%E -3.33%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 18:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.72%E -3.33%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 14:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.72%E -3.33%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-10 14:43 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.07%E -4.33%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-10 18:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.71%E -1.87%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 19:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.71%E -1.87%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 18:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.38%E -2.35%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 07:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.38%E -2.35%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 07:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.38%E -2.35%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 13:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 31.28% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 68.72% | -1.0% | 2026-05-10 19:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27% | 1.0% | 2026-05-10 16:19 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 1.2% | 2026-05-10 18:59 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11% | 1.4% | 2026-05-10 19:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97% | 1.6% | 2026-05-10 19:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12% | 2.1% | 2026-05-10 18:59 |