L’École des cotes

Washington Mystics v New York Liberty

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-10 19:05 UTC

Score final : Washington Mystics 93–98 New York Liberty

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Washington Mystics (Local)

Prévision 32.90%3.04cote équitable
EV +3.65%
Avantage +1.16%
Kelly +1.70%
Croissance +0.062%

avec la cote maximale 3.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
30.16%32.81%32.95%34.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.942.913.1536.36%34.01%34.36%31.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New York Liberty (Visiteur)

Prévision 67.10%1.49cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -1.87%
Kelly -6.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.48%67.19%67.05%69.84%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.291.411.421.4577.52%71.12%70.42%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:04
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:04
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:05
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:10
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:05
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:05
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:04
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:04
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:05
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV +3.65%E +1.16%K +1.70%G +0.062%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:04
BetRivers3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV +0.358%E +0.118%K +0.175%G +0.001%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-10 18:04
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 32.58%EV -1.29%E -0.429%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 67.42%EV -2.71%E -1.87%K -6.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-10 18:48
BetAnything3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -1.29%E -0.429%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.72%E -3.33%K -11.25%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 17:59
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -1.29%E -0.429%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.40%E -3.83%K -13.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 18:45
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -1.29%E -0.429%K -0.643%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -6.07%E -4.33%K -15.17%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 18:29
FanDuel2.98I 33.56%NM 31.96%EV -1.94%E -0.653%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.04%EV -6.07%E -4.33%K -15.17%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 18:59
SportsBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -1.94%E -0.653%K -0.982%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -7.41%E -5.37%K -19.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 18:59
theScore Bet2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.93%E -0.994%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 19:00
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.93%E -0.994%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 17:28
LowVig.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.93%E -0.994%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 16:24
BetOnline.ag2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.93%E -0.994%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 16:20
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 32.65%EV -2.93%E -0.994%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.35%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-10 16:19
Caesars2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV -3.92%E -1.34%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-10 16:58
DraftKings2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 15:34
GTbets2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -4.58%E -1.58%K -2.41%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 18:59
Unibet (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -4.72%E -3.33%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 18:14
Paddy Power2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -8.75%E -6.43%K -24.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-10 18:54
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.94%EV -5.24%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 69.06%EV -13.45%E -10.42%K -46.37%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 18:05
MyBookie.ag2.87I 34.84%NM 33.26%EV -5.56%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.74%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 18:19
ReBet2.87I 34.84%NM 33.10%EV -5.56%E -1.94%K -2.98%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.90%EV -4.72%E -3.33%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:14
Pinnacle2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -5.89%E -2.06%K -3.17%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -2.71%E -1.87%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 18:59
Bet Right2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 18:59
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 18:59
Betway2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -4.05%E -2.83%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 18:59
Hard Rock Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.72%E -3.33%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-10 18:18
Coolbet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.22%E -2.18%K -3.36%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.40%E -3.83%K -13.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 18:24
1xBet2.83I 35.34%NM 33.88%EV -6.88%E -2.43%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 66.12%EV -2.71%E -1.87%K -6.03%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-10 18:39
TAB2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.72%E -3.33%K -11.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 18:59
Betsson2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.72%E -3.33%K -11.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 14:44
NordicBet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -4.72%E -3.33%K -11.25%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-10 14:43
BoyleSports2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.87%E -2.81%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -6.07%E -4.33%K -15.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-10 18:19
Neds2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.71%E -1.87%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 19:00
Ladbrokes (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -2.71%E -1.87%K -6.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 18:59
888sport (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.38%E -2.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 07:24
888sport2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.38%E -2.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 07:29
Mr Green (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -9.51%E -3.46%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.38%E -2.35%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 13:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 31.28%1.47I 68.03%NM 68.72%-1.0%2026-05-10 19:00
Polymarket3.12I 32.05%NM 31.73%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.27%1.0%2026-05-10 16:19
ProphetX3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%1.2%2026-05-10 18:59
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-05-10 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.00I 33.33%NM 32.89%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.11%1.4%2026-05-10 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.98I 33.56%NM 33.03%1.47I 68.03%NM 66.97%1.6%2026-05-10 19:00
Novig2.98I 33.56%NM 32.88%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.12%2.1%2026-05-10 18:59