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Washington Mystics v Minnesota Lynx
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Washington Mystics (Local)
Prediction 22.81%4.38fair odd
EV +0.841%
Edge +0.190%
Kelly +0.246%
Growth +0.002%
assuming max odds 4.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.77%23.17%22.79%27.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.064.074.4229.41%24.62%24.54%22.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Minnesota Lynx (Visit)
Prediction 77.19%1.30fair odd
EV +1.11%
Edge +0.849%
Kelly +3.59%
Growth +0.040%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.19%76.83%77.21%78.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.211.241.241.3182.64%80.47%80.65%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Mystics (Local): 22.81%; Minnesota Lynx (Visit): 77.19%. For Minnesota Lynx (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.30. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.31, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.11%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -22.43%E -6.60%K -9.35%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV +1.11%E +0.849%K +3.59%G +0.040% | 5.7% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.81I 26.25%NM 25.15%EV -13.08%E -3.43%K -4.65%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.85%EV -1.20%E -0.940%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-24 22:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 22:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.16%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.16%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-24 22:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV -1.90%E -0.441%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -3.52%E -2.81%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-24 23:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.52%E -2.81%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.52%E -2.81%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.52%E -2.81%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 16:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.59%E -4.21%K -5.77%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.52%E -2.81%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-24 23:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.90%E -0.441%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 15:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.90%E -0.441%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 16:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.90%E -0.441%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 16:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.90%E -0.441%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 15:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.04%E -0.715%K -0.935%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-24 15:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-24 17:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-24 16:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 18:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 18:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 21:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +0.841%E +0.190%K +0.246%G +0.002% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -5.06%E -4.12%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-24 22:50 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -0.756%E -0.174%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.06%E -4.12%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-24 16:08 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -1.90%E -0.441%K -0.575%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.06%E -4.12%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-24 16:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.06%E -4.12%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-24 20:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.06%E -4.12%K -22.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-24 15:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -0.756%E -0.174%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.83%E -4.78%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-24 23:18 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.83%E -4.78%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 16:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.83%E -4.78%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 16:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.83%E -4.78%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-24 16:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.32%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.83%E -4.78%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-24 21:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -7.60%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.83%E -4.78%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-24 20:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.83%E -4.78%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.83%E -4.78%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-24 23:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.45%E -3.85%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.83%E -4.78%K -26.52%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-24 21:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -16.73%E -4.58%K -6.31%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -6.61%E -5.46%K -31.46%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 0.7% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46% | 0.9% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-06-24 19:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60% | 1.5% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 2.0% | 2026-06-24 23:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 2.0% | 2026-06-24 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03% | 2.2% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.25I 23.53%NM 23.01% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.99% | 2.3% | 2026-06-24 23:30 |