A Escola das Odds

Washington Mystics v Minnesota Lynx

Início: 2026-06-24 23:40 UTC

Final: Washington Mystics 76–78 Minnesota Lynx

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Washington Mystics (Local)

Previsão 22.81%4.38odd justa
EV +0.841%
Vantagem +0.190%
Kelly +0.246%
Crescimento +0.002%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.77%23.17%22.79%27.81%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.404.064.074.4229.41%24.62%24.54%22.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Minnesota Lynx (Visitante)

Previsão 77.19%1.30odd justa
EV +1.11%
Vantagem +0.849%
Kelly +3.59%
Crescimento +0.040%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.19%76.83%77.21%78.23%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.211.241.241.3182.64%80.47%80.65%76.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
BetMGM3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -22.43%E -6.60%K -9.35%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV +1.11%E +0.849%K +3.59%G +0.040%5.7%2026-06-24 23:30
1xBet3.81I 26.25%NM 25.15%EV -13.08%E -3.43%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.85%EV -1.20%E -0.940%K -4.30%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-24 22:00
LeoVegas3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 23:00
Unibet (NL)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 22:59
Unibet (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 23:00
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 23:00
ATG (SE)3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 22:59
betPARX3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 23:00
Bally Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 23:00
Svenska Spel3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -9.88%E -2.50%K -3.35%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-24 23:00
BetRivers3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.16%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 23:00
TABtouch3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -12.16%E -3.16%K -4.27%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -2.75%E -2.18%K -10.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-24 22:59
Bet Victor4.30I 23.26%NM 22.52%EV -1.90%E -0.441%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.48%EV -3.52%E -2.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-24 23:19
ReBet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.52%E -2.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-24 23:29
Ladbrokes (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.52%E -2.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:50
Neds4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.52%E -2.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 16:40
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -15.59%E -4.21%K -5.77%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -3.52%E -2.81%K -14.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 23:20
DraftKings4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.90%E -0.441%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 15:39
LowVig.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.90%E -0.441%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 16:00
BetOnline.ag4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.90%E -0.441%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 16:00
BetUS4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -1.90%E -0.441%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 15:39
Fanatics4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -3.04%E -0.715%K -0.935%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-24 15:49
Unibet (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 23:29
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 17:50
BetAnything4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-24 16:00
Betr (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 18:20
Bet Right4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 18:20
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -6.46%E -1.58%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.29%E -3.46%K -17.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 21:20
Pinnacle4.42I 22.62%NM 21.77%EV +0.841%E +0.190%K +0.246%G +0.002%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.23%EV -5.06%E -4.12%K -22.01%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-24 22:50
Caesars4.35I 22.99%NM 22.04%EV -0.756%E -0.174%K -0.226%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.96%EV -5.06%E -4.12%K -22.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-24 16:08
GTbets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -1.90%E -0.441%K -0.575%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -5.06%E -4.12%K -22.01%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-24 16:00
MyBookie.ag4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.06%E -4.12%K -22.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-24 20:50
Coolbet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.06%E -4.12%K -22.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-24 15:50
Bovada4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -0.756%E -0.174%K -0.226%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.83%E -4.78%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-24 23:18
888sport4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.83%E -4.78%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 16:20
888sport (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.83%E -4.78%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 16:20
Mr Green (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -4.18%E -0.995%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.83%E -4.78%K -26.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-24 16:20
SportsBet4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -5.32%E -1.28%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.83%E -4.78%K -26.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-24 21:20
Betsson4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -7.60%E -1.88%K -2.49%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.83%E -4.78%K -26.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-24 20:00
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.83%E -4.78%K -26.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 23:30
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -8.74%E -2.19%K -2.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.83%E -4.78%K -26.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-24 23:29
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -14.45%E -3.85%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.83%E -4.78%K -26.52%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-24 21:19
PMU (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.90%EV -16.73%E -4.58%K -6.31%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 75.10%EV -6.61%E -5.46%K -31.46%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-24 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%0.7%2026-06-24 23:30
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-06-24 23:30
Kalshi4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26%1.1%2026-06-24 19:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-06-24 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-06-24 23:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%2.0%2026-06-24 23:00
Novig4.26I 23.47%NM 22.97%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.03%2.2%2026-06-24 23:30
ProphetX4.25I 23.53%NM 23.01%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.99%2.3%2026-06-24 23:30