Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Mystics v Los Angeles Sparks

Kickoff: 2026-05-29 23:30 UTC

Final: Washington Mystics 87–92 Los Angeles Sparks

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Mystics (Local)

Prediction 55.46%1.80fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -1.68%
Kelly -3.92%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%55.55%55.50%56.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.601.711.711.7562.50%58.43%58.48%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Los Angeles Sparks (Visit)

Prediction 44.54%2.25fair odd
EV -2.02%
Edge -0.918%
Kelly -1.68%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.08%44.45%44.50%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.022.152.152.2049.50%46.56%46.51%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Washington Mystics (Local): 55.46%; Los Angeles Sparks (Visit): 44.54%. For Los Angeles Sparks (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.25. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.20, with an expected value of -2.02%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.02%E -0.918%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-29 23:20
theScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 18:39
Caesars🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 22:58
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 18:39
Betway🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 18:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 22:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 22:49
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 22:49
BetUS🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 18:20
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.69%E -2.19%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-29 23:00
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 23:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 23:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 23:19
Pinnacle🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -2.46%E -1.13%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-29 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 21:19
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 21:19
MyBookie.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.69%E -2.19%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:09
ReBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.69%E -2.19%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:09
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:19
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 17:39
1xBet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.02%E -0.918%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 23:00
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.02%E -0.918%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 22:59
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 11:49
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 21:18
TABtouch🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:29
betPARX🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:29
LeoVegas🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:30
Unibet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:29
Bally Bet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:30
BetRivers🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.80%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 22:09
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:39
Betr (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:29
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 23:19
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 22:09
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 22:09
TAB🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 18:38
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 17:38
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.91%E -1.33%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 20:39
PMU (FR)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -11.26%E -7.04%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -10.04%E -4.97%K -9.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-29 22:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-05-29 23:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-05-29 23:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-05-29 22:30
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-05-29 23:19
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-05-29 21:29
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-29 14:09
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-29 21:50
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-05-29 22:49