La escuela de los momios

Washington Mystics v Los Angeles Sparks

Inicio: 2026-05-29 23:30 UTC

Final: Washington Mystics 87–92 Los Angeles Sparks

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

45 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Washington Mystics (Local)

Predicción 55.46%1.80momio equitativo
EV -2.94%
Ventaja -1.68%
Kelly -3.92%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.83%55.55%55.50%56.92%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.601.711.711.7562.50%58.43%58.48%57.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Los Angeles Sparks (Visitante)

Predicción 44.54%2.25momio equitativo
EV -2.02%
Ventaja -0.918%
Kelly -1.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.08%44.45%44.50%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.022.152.152.2049.50%46.56%46.51%45.45%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 55.70%EV -2.94%E -1.68%K -3.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.30%EV -2.02%E -0.918%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-29 23:20
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 18:39
Caesars1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 22:58
GTbets1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 18:39
Betway1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 18:39
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 22:50
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 22:49
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 22:49
BetUS1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-29 18:20
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 55.15%EV -3.49%E -2.01%K -4.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.85%EV -4.69%E -2.19%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-29 23:00
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 23:19
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 23:19
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.05%E -2.34%K -5.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-29 23:19
Pinnacle1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -2.46%E -1.13%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-29 23:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 21:19
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 21:19
MyBookie.ag1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.69%E -2.19%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:09
ReBet1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.69%E -2.19%K -4.12%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:09
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.21%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.79%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 23:19
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -4.60%E -2.68%K -6.39%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-29 17:39
1xBet1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.02%E -0.918%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 23:00
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -2.02%E -0.918%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-29 22:59
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 11:49
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.16%E -3.02%K -7.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-29 21:18
TABtouch1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:29
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:29
LeoVegas1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:30
Unibet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:30
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:30
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:30
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:30
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:29
Bally Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.07%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.93%EV -3.36%E -1.55%K -2.87%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 22:30
BetRivers1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -3.80%E -1.76%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-29 22:09
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:39
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-29 18:29
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 23:19
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 22:09
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -5.71%E -3.36%K -8.16%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.58%E -2.63%K -4.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 22:09
TAB1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.82%E -4.06%K -10.03%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.25%E -1.97%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-29 18:38
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.38%E -4.42%K -11.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -6.47%E -3.08%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-29 17:38
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -8.49%E -5.14%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -2.91%E -1.33%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-29 20:39
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 55.80%EV -11.26%E -7.04%K -18.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 44.20%EV -10.04%E -4.97%K -9.84%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-29 22:29
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-05-29 23:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-05-29 23:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.45%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.55%0.2%2026-05-29 22:30
Novig1.79I 55.87%NM 55.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 44.31%0.3%2026-05-29 23:19
ProphetX1.79I 55.87%NM 55.47%2.23I 44.84%NM 44.53%0.7%2026-05-29 21:29
Kalshi1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-29 14:09
Polymarket1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%0.9%2026-05-29 21:50
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 56.06%2.22I 45.05%NM 43.94%2.5%2026-05-29 22:49