Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Mystics v Dallas Wings

2026-08-05 23:30 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

20 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Washington Mystics (Local)

Prediction 43.48%2.30fair odd
EV -4.34%
Edge -1.97%
Kelly -3.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.08%43.55%43.52%45.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.162.182.2048.78%46.20%45.87%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Wings (Visit)

Prediction 56.52%1.77fair odd
EV -2.22%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -3.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.97%56.45%56.48%56.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.681.671.7360.61%59.44%59.70%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Washington Mystics (Local): 43.48%; Dallas Wings (Visit): 56.52%. For Dallas Wings (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.77. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.73, with an expected value of -2.22%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (20 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 17:45
GTbets2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-03 18:04
DraftKings2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -3.92%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 17:45
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -4.48%E -2.65%K -6.50%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-03 19:29
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 17:44
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 17:44
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 17:44
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 17:44
Bet Right2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -5.21%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -5.05%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 18:15
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.21%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.74%E -4.09%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 17:45
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -5.21%E -2.39%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.74%E -4.09%K -10.37%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-03 17:45
1xBet2.16I 46.30%NM 44.47%EV -6.08%E -2.82%K -5.24%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.53%EV -2.22%E -1.28%K -3.04%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-03 18:15
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.92%E -2.30%K -5.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 17:45
Coolbet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -5.05%E -3.00%K -7.42%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 18:15
Hard Rock Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-03 17:49
ReBet2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.52%E -3.03%K -5.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.74%E -4.09%K -10.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 17:44
FanDuel2.14I 46.73%NM 44.42%EV -6.95%E -3.25%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.58%EV -3.35%E -1.96%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-03 19:25
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -2.79%E -1.62%K -3.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-03 17:33
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.61%E -3.36%K -8.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-03 17:33
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -10.87%E -5.30%K -10.35%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -6.74%E -4.09%K -10.37%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-03 18:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi2.33I 42.92%NM 42.89%1.75I 57.14%NM 57.11%0.1%2026-08-03 18:25
Polymarket2.22I 45.05%NM 43.65%1.72I 58.14%NM 56.35%3.2%2026-08-03 18:05