Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Mystics v Dallas Wings

Início: 2026-08-05 23:33 UTC

Final: Washington Mystics 96–92 Dallas Wings

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Washington Mystics (Local)

Previsão 45.73%2.19odd justa
EV +2.89%
Vantagem +1.28%
Kelly +2.31%
Crescimento +0.067%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.25

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.89%45.60%45.74%47.37%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.002.092.082.2550.00%47.87%48.08%44.44%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Dallas Wings (Visitante)

Previsão 54.27%1.84odd justa
EV -2.31%
Vantagem -1.28%
Kelly -2.89%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
52.63%54.40%54.26%57.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.671.751.761.8059.88%57.21%56.82%55.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Washington Mystics (Local): 45.73%; Dallas Wings (Visitante): 54.27%. Para Washington Mystics (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.19. 2 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 2.25, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.89%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Bovada🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.89%EV +2.89%E +1.28%K +2.31%G +0.067%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.11%EV -8.28%E -4.90%K -12.00%G +0.000%3.6%2026-08-05 22:13
Pinnacle🎯2.19I 45.66%NM 43.85%EV +0.143%E +0.065%K +0.120%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 56.15%EV -7.19%E -4.21%K -10.13%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 23:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -0.771%E -0.355%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 21:50
LowVig.ag🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 44.36%EV -0.771%E -0.355%K -0.659%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.64%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 21:45
FanDuel🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.23%E -0.569%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.74%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-05 23:30
betano_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 23:19
Bet Victor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 45.57%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.43%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-05 23:20
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 21:50
BetUS🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 21:45
BetAnything🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.73%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 55.27%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-05 21:50
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -1.69%E -0.784%K -1.47%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.74%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 23:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.88%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 54.12%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-05 23:30
Fanatics🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 21:50
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 22:25
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 21:45
Caesars🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 21:50
BetMGM🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-05 20:50
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-05 22:35
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.65%E -3.87%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-05 22:50
TAB🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.74%E -4.55%K -11.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-05 22:19
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -3.97%E -1.89%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.36%E -5.61%K -13.98%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-05 22:15
1xBet🎯2.09I 47.85%NM 45.85%EV -4.43%E -2.12%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.15%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-05 23:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.89%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.48%E -2.55%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:10
Unibet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.89%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.48%E -2.55%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:10
Unibet (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.89%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.48%E -2.55%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:10
Unibet (NL)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.89%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.48%E -2.55%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:10
betPARX🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.89%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.48%E -2.55%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:10
Bally Bet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.89%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.48%E -2.55%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.89%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.48%E -2.55%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -4.89%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -4.48%E -2.55%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-05 22:10
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.89%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 22:10
TABtouch🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -4.89%E -2.35%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-05 22:10
Coolbet🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.53%EV -5.34%E -2.58%K -4.99%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.47%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 22:34
MyBookie.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -3.39%E -1.91%K -4.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-05 22:59
ReBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 22:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 20:49
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.94%E -2.22%K -5.11%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-05 20:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 23:30
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -5.57%E -3.20%K -7.52%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-05 23:30
LeoVegas🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.26%E -3.05%K -5.96%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.36%E -5.61%K -13.98%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-05 23:30
NordicBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.63%E -3.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 22:55
Betsson🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.42%EV -7.63%E -3.78%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.58%EV -5.02%E -2.87%K -6.70%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-05 22:55
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 15:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 15:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -2.31%E -1.28%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-05 15:29
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -6.11%E -3.53%K -8.37%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-05 21:55
PMU (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.65%EV -8.55%E -4.27%K -8.55%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 54.35%EV -8.82%E -5.25%K -12.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-05 22:10
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
ProphetX◎2.30I 43.48%NM 43.77%1.79I 55.87%NM 56.23%-0.7%2026-08-05 23:30
Matchbook◎2.24I 44.64%NM 44.42%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.58%0.5%2026-08-05 23:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-08-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.22%0.6%2026-08-05 23:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.64%1.79I 55.87%NM 55.36%0.9%2026-08-05 23:30
Polymarket◎2.27I 44.05%NM 43.53%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.47%1.2%2026-08-05 23:00
Novig◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.36%1.77I 56.50%NM 55.64%1.5%2026-08-05 23:30
Kalshi◎2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%2.2%2026-08-05 23:30