Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Tempo v Seattle Storm

Kickoff: 2026-05-30 17:00 UTC

Final: Toronto Tempo 93–72 Seattle Storm

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

46 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Tempo (Local)

Prediction 66.39%1.51fair odd
EV -2.40%
Edge -1.64%
Kelly -5.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.32%66.36%66.40%67.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.431.431.4774.07%69.93%69.93%68.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Storm (Visit)

Prediction 33.61%2.98fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -0.875%
Kelly -1.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.86%33.64%33.60%34.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.632.822.852.9038.02%35.40%35.09%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Tempo (Local): 66.39%; Seattle Storm (Visit): 33.61%. For Toronto Tempo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.51. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.47, with an expected value of -2.40%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.40%E -1.64%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-30 16:49
Neds🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.07%E -2.10%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -7.58%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.07%E -2.10%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -7.58%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 21:39
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.73%E -2.57%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.88%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 16:40
BetMGM🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.73%E -2.57%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.90%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 21:39
theScore Bet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.54%E -0.875%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 16:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.87%E -0.994%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.87%E -0.994%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 15:00
Fanatics🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 15:40
Caesars🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:00
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 13:10
BetAnything🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 15:49
MyBookie.ag🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.90%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 16:29
ReBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.90%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 16:30
888sport🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.58%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 00:39
Unibet (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.58%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 16:10
888sport (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.58%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 00:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.58%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 00:39
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.54%E -0.875%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 07:18
GTbets🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.54%E -0.875%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 16:50
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.54%E -0.875%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 16:50
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.54%E -0.875%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 15:49
FanDuel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.88%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 16:40
Bet Right🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 14:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 14:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:39
Unibet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:40
LeoVegas🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:39
TABtouch🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:40
betPARX🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:39
Bally Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.90%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 13:09
BetRivers🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.90%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 16:39
Betsson🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.72%E -4.03%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.90%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:09
NordicBet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.72%E -4.03%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.90%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:10
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.72%E -4.03%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.90%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:59
Coolbet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.39%E -4.53%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 13:10
SportsBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -7.05%E -5.04%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -3.88%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 16:40
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.05%E -5.04%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.58%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 06:29
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.05%E -5.04%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.58%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 13:09
Fliff🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.38%E -6.07%K -22.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.58%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 16:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 66.08%EV -10.37%E -7.68%K -29.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.92%EV -11.61%E -4.41%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-30 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (8)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-05-30 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-05-30 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-05-30 16:50
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-05-30 16:50
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-05-30 14:50
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.6%2026-05-30 16:50
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-05-30 15:20
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%2.7%2026-05-30 15:30