La escuela de los momios

Toronto Tempo v Seattle Storm

Inicio: 2026-05-30 17:00 UTC

Final: Toronto Tempo 93–72 Seattle Storm

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

46 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Toronto Tempo (Local)

Predicción 66.39%1.51momio equitativo
EV -2.40%
Ventaja -1.64%
Kelly -5.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.32%66.36%66.40%67.14%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.351.431.431.4774.07%69.93%69.93%68.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Seattle Storm (Visitante)

Predicción 33.61%2.98momio equitativo
EV -2.54%
Ventaja -0.875%
Kelly -1.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.86%33.64%33.60%34.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.632.822.852.9038.02%35.40%35.09%34.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (46 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Bet Victor1.47I 68.03%NM 65.97%EV -2.40%E -1.64%K -5.12%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.03%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-30 16:49
Neds1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.07%E -2.10%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -7.58%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 21:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -3.07%E -2.10%K -6.67%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -7.58%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-29 21:39
Pinnacle1.45I 68.97%NM 66.36%EV -3.73%E -2.57%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.64%EV -3.88%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 16:40
BetMGM1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -3.73%E -2.57%K -8.29%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -5.90%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-29 21:39
theScore Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.82%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV -2.54%E -0.875%K -1.33%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-30 16:40
LowVig.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.87%E -0.994%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 15:00
BetOnline.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.74%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 33.26%EV -2.87%E -0.994%K -1.52%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-30 15:00
Fanatics1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 15:40
Caesars1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:00
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 13:10
BetAnything1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 15:49
MyBookie.ag1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.90%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 16:29
ReBet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -5.90%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-30 16:30
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.58%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 00:39
Unibet (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.58%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 16:10
888sport (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.58%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 00:39
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -4.40%E -3.05%K -9.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -7.58%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-30 00:39
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.54%E -0.875%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 07:18
GTbets1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.54%E -0.875%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 16:50
Bovada1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.54%E -0.875%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 16:50
BetUS1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -2.54%E -0.875%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 15:49
FanDuel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -3.88%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-30 16:40
Bet Right1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 14:09
Betr (AU)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 14:10
Unibet (NL)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:39
Unibet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:40
LeoVegas1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:39
TABtouch1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:40
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:40
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:39
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:40
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:39
Bally Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 16:39
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.90%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 13:09
BetRivers1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -5.06%E -3.54%K -11.77%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -5.90%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-30 16:39
Betsson1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.72%E -4.03%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.90%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:09
NordicBet1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.72%E -4.03%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.90%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:10
TAB1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -5.72%E -4.03%K -13.63%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -5.90%E -2.11%K -3.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-30 13:59
Coolbet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -6.39%E -4.53%K -15.58%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -4.22%E -1.48%K -2.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 13:10
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.14%EV -7.05%E -5.04%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.86I 34.97%NM 32.86%EV -3.88%E -1.36%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 16:40
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.05%E -5.04%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.58%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 06:29
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -7.05%E -5.04%K -17.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -7.58%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 13:09
Fliff1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -8.38%E -6.07%K -22.05%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -7.58%E -2.76%K -4.33%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-30 16:50
PMU (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 66.08%EV -10.37%E -7.68%K -29.63%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.92%EV -11.61%E -4.41%K -7.12%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-30 16:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (8)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-05-30 16:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-05-30 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-05-30 16:50
ProphetX1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%0.4%2026-05-30 16:50
Polymarket1.49I 67.11%NM 66.37%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.63%1.1%2026-05-30 14:50
Novig1.48I 67.57%NM 66.52%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.48%1.6%2026-05-30 16:50
Kalshi1.47I 68.03%NM 66.67%2.94I 34.01%NM 33.33%2.0%2026-05-30 15:20
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 66.67%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.33%2.7%2026-05-30 15:30