Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Tempo v New York Liberty

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 19:07 UTC

Final: Toronto Tempo 93–91 New York Liberty

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Toronto Tempo (Local)

Prediction 29.56%3.38fair odd
EV +2.00%
Edge +0.579%
Kelly +0.815%
Growth +0.016%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.66%29.73%29.44%32.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.163.203.4534.72%31.61%31.25%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

New York Liberty (Visit)

Prediction 70.44%1.42fair odd
EV -2.80%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -7.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.76%70.27%70.56%72.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.341.3876.92%74.60%74.63%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Tempo (Local): 29.56%; New York Liberty (Visit): 70.44%. For Toronto Tempo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.38. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.45, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.00%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
betano_uk3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +2.00%E +0.579%K +0.815%G +0.016%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.62%E -4.19%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-12 19:00
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%EV +0.518%E +0.152%K +0.216%G +0.001%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%EV -3.50%E -2.56%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 19:03
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.518%E +0.152%K +0.216%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.43%E -6.49%K -28.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 19:04
Pinnacle3.39I 29.50%NM 28.33%EV +0.223%E +0.066%K +0.093%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.67%EV -5.62%E -4.19%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 18:59
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.960%E -0.287%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.73%E -5.90%K -24.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 19:00
GTbets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 16:19
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 19:02
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 16:29
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 16:29
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 16:30
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 16:29
Fliff3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.91%E -3.64%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 19:04
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.32%E -4.75%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 19:04
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.32%E -4.75%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 19:04
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.32%E -4.75%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 19:04
MyBookie.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.43%E -6.49%K -28.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 19:03
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.43%E -6.49%K -28.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 19:04
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.91%E -3.64%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:34
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.32%E -4.75%K -19.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 18:59
ReBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.39%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 18:54
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.39%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.91%E -3.64%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:34
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.39%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.62%E -4.19%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 18:59
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.39%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.62%E -4.19%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 19:04
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.39%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.32%E -4.75%K -19.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 19:04
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.39%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -7.73%E -5.90%K -24.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 19:04
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.39%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.43%E -6.49%K -28.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 18:05
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 18:04
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 19:04
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.43%E -6.49%K -28.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 19:04
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 19:04
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 19:04
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.80%E -2.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 19:04
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 19:04
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 19:04
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 19:04
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 19:04
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 19:04
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 19:04
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 19:04
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.32%E -4.75%K -19.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 19:04
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.79%E -4.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 19:04
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -12.79%E -4.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -5.62%E -4.19%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 19:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -12.79%E -4.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-12 19:04
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -14.26%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.80%E -2.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 19:04
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -14.26%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -8.43%E -6.49%K -28.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-12 19:04
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -14.86%E -5.16%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.57%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-12 19:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-07-12 19:04
Polymarket3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-07-12 19:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%2.4%2026-07-12 19:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%2.4%2026-07-12 19:04
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%4.4%2026-07-12 19:04
ProphetX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%4.8%2026-07-12 19:04
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 29.17%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.83%6.1%2026-07-12 19:04