A Escola das Odds

Toronto Tempo v New York Liberty

Início: 2026-07-12 19:07 UTC

Final: Toronto Tempo 93–91 New York Liberty

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Toronto Tempo (Local)

Previsão 29.56%3.38odd justa
EV +2.00%
Vantagem +0.579%
Kelly +0.815%
Crescimento +0.016%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.66%29.73%29.44%32.24%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.883.163.203.4534.72%31.61%31.25%28.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

New York Liberty (Visitante)

Previsão 70.44%1.42odd justa
EV -2.80%
Vantagem -2.03%
Kelly -7.36%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.38

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.76%70.27%70.56%72.34%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.301.341.341.3876.92%74.60%74.63%72.46%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
betano_uk3.45I 28.99%NM 27.97%EV +2.00%E +0.579%K +0.815%G +0.016%1.34I 74.63%NM 72.03%EV -5.62%E -4.19%K -16.52%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-12 19:00
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%EV +0.518%E +0.152%K +0.216%G +0.001%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%EV -3.50%E -2.56%K -9.47%G +0.000%2.4%2026-07-12 19:03
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV +0.518%E +0.152%K +0.216%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -8.43%E -6.49%K -28.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-12 19:04
Pinnacle3.39I 29.50%NM 28.33%EV +0.223%E +0.066%K +0.093%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.67%EV -5.62%E -4.19%K -16.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-12 18:59
SportsBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -0.960%E -0.287%K -0.409%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -7.73%E -5.90%K -24.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-12 19:00
GTbets3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 16:19
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 19:02
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 16:29
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 16:29
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 16:30
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%3.8%2026-07-12 16:29
Fliff3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%EV -4.91%E -3.64%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.4%2026-07-12 19:04
888sport3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.32%E -4.75%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 19:04
888sport (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.32%E -4.75%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 19:04
Mr Green (SE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -6.32%E -4.75%K -19.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-12 19:04
MyBookie.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.43%E -6.49%K -28.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 19:03
theScore Bet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -2.44%E -0.739%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -8.43%E -6.49%K -28.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-12 19:04
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -4.91%E -3.64%K -14.03%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 17:34
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.92%E -1.21%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.32%E -4.75%K -19.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 18:59
ReBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -5.39%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-12 18:54
Bet Right3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -5.39%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -4.91%E -3.64%K -14.03%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 17:34
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.39%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.62%E -4.19%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 18:59
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -5.39%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.62%E -4.19%K -16.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 19:04
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -5.39%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -6.32%E -4.75%K -19.15%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 19:04
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.05%EV -5.39%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.95%EV -7.73%E -5.90%K -24.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-12 19:04
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -5.39%E -1.69%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.43%E -6.49%K -28.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 18:05
Neds3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 18:04
Coolbet3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -6.87%E -2.18%K -3.20%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.47%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-12 19:04
LeoVegas3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -8.35%E -2.69%K -3.98%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -8.43%E -6.49%K -28.11%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-12 19:04
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 19:04
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -9.83%E -3.22%K -4.79%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.95%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 19:04
Caesars3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -2.80%E -2.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-12 19:04
BetMGM3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 19:04
Unibet (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 19:04
Unibet (NL)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 19:04
Unibet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 19:04
ATG (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 19:04
Svenska Spel3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 19:04
betPARX3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 19:04
Bally Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -11.31%E -3.77%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.32%E -4.75%K -19.15%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 19:04
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -12.79%E -4.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -4.21%E -3.09%K -11.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-12 19:04
BetRivers2.95I 33.90%NM 31.24%EV -12.79%E -4.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.76%EV -5.62%E -4.19%K -16.52%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-12 19:04
LeoVegas (SE)2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -12.79%E -4.33%K -6.56%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.09%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.95%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-12 19:04
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -14.26%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -2.80%E -2.03%K -7.36%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-12 19:04
BoyleSports2.90I 34.48%NM 30.95%EV -14.26%E -4.92%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.05%EV -8.43%E -6.49%K -28.11%G +0.000%11.4%2026-07-12 19:04
PMU (FR)2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -14.86%E -5.16%K -7.90%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.57%EV -7.02%E -5.32%K -21.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-07-12 19:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-07-12 19:04
Polymarket3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-07-12 19:04
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%2.4%2026-07-12 19:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.72%1.37I 72.99%NM 71.28%2.4%2026-07-12 19:04
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 29.03%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.97%4.4%2026-07-12 19:04
ProphetX3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%4.8%2026-07-12 19:04
Novig3.23I 30.96%NM 29.17%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.83%6.1%2026-07-12 19:04