Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.34
assuming max odds 4.10
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Toronto Tempo (Local): 75.85%; Connecticut Sun (Visit): 24.15%. For Toronto Tempo (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.32. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.34, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.65%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV +1.65%E +1.23%K +4.84%G +0.080% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -22.74%E -7.10%K -10.33%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-10 22:58 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-10 22:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-10 22:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-10 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-10 22:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-10 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -11.87%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -11.87%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.66%E -2.89%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.00%E -0.245%K -0.324%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.66%E -2.89%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.42%E -0.855%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-10 22:58 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.66%E -2.89%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -4.38%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.66%E -2.89%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.83%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-10 22:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.66%E -2.89%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.83%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-10 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.29%EV -3.66%E -2.89%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.71%EV -6.56%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-10 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.66%E -2.89%K -13.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-10 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.42%E -3.51%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.69%E -0.669%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.42%E -3.51%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.69%E -0.669%K -0.889%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.42%E -3.51%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.42%E -0.855%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-10 22:59 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.42%E -3.51%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.42%E -0.855%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-10 22:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.42%E -3.51%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.42%E -0.855%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-10 22:57 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.42%E -3.51%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-10 22:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.42%E -3.51%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.83%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.42%E -3.51%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.42%E -3.51%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-10 22:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.18%E -4.15%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.42%E -0.855%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-10 22:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.18%E -4.15%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.42%E -0.855%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-10 22:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.18%E -4.15%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.42%E -0.855%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.18%E -4.15%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.42%E -0.855%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-10 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.18%E -4.15%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-10 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.18%E -4.15%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-10 22:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.18%E -4.15%K -20.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.94%E -4.79%K -24.75%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.83%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.70%E -5.45%K -29.12%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.42%E -0.855%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.46%E -6.11%K -33.90%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.21I 82.64%NM 73.75%EV -8.22%E -6.79%K -39.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -17.91%E -5.27%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08% | 0.8% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77% | 0.9% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.01% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.99% | 1.2% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50% | 1.3% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80% | 2.0% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49% | 2.1% | 2026-06-10 23:00 |