L’École des cotes

Toronto Tempo v Connecticut Sun

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-10 23:03 UTC

Score final : Toronto Tempo 106–102 Connecticut Sun

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Toronto Tempo (Local)

Prévision 75.85%1.32cote équitable
EV +1.65%
Avantage +1.23%
Kelly +4.84%
Croissance +0.080%

avec la cote maximale 1.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
70.48%75.72%75.89%76.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.211.261.271.3482.64%79.06%78.74%74.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Connecticut Sun (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.15%4.14cote équitable
EV -1.00%
Avantage -0.245%
Kelly -0.324%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.52%24.28%24.11%29.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.843.854.1031.25%26.04%25.97%24.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV +1.65%E +1.23%K +4.84%G +0.080%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -22.74%E -7.10%K -10.33%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 22:58
Neds1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 22:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -8.25%E -2.17%K -2.95%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 22:59
Unibet (NL)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 23:00
LeoVegas1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 23:00
Unibet (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 23:00
Unibet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 22:59
Svenska Spel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 23:00
Bally Bet1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 22:59
ATG (SE)1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 23:00
betPARX1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-10 23:00
BetRivers1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -11.87%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 23:00
TABtouch1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -2.91%E -2.27%K -10.38%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -11.87%E -3.25%K -4.48%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-10 23:00
Bet Victor1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -3.66%E -2.89%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.00%E -0.245%K -0.324%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-10 23:00
BetMGM1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -3.66%E -2.89%K -13.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -3.42%E -0.855%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-10 22:58
Pinnacle1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -3.66%E -2.89%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -4.38%E -1.11%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-10 23:00
Fanatics1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.66%E -2.89%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.83%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 22:59
BetAnything1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -3.66%E -2.89%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -5.83%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 22:59
BetUS1.27I 78.74%NM 75.29%EV -3.66%E -2.89%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.71%EV -6.56%E -1.69%K -2.29%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-10 22:59
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -3.66%E -2.89%K -13.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-10 22:59
LowVig.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.42%E -3.51%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.69%E -0.669%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 23:00
BetOnline.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -4.42%E -3.51%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV -2.69%E -0.669%K -0.889%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-10 23:00
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.42%E -3.51%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.42%E -0.855%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 22:59
GTbets1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.42%E -3.51%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.42%E -0.855%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 22:59
Caesars1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -4.42%E -3.51%K -17.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -3.42%E -0.855%K -1.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 22:57
Bovada1.26I 79.37%NM 75.82%EV -4.42%E -3.51%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.18%EV -4.63%E -1.17%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 22:59
FanDuel1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -4.42%E -3.51%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.83%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 23:00
MyBookie.ag1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.42%E -3.51%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 23:00
ReBet1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -4.42%E -3.51%K -17.01%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 22:59
888sport1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.18%E -4.15%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.42%E -0.855%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:59
Mr Green (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.18%E -4.15%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.42%E -0.855%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:59
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.18%E -4.15%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.42%E -0.855%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 23:00
888sport (SE)1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.18%E -4.15%K -20.73%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -3.42%E -0.855%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-10 22:59
NordicBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.18%E -4.15%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 22:59
Betsson1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.18%E -4.15%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -7.04%E -1.83%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-10 22:59
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.18%E -4.15%K -20.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 23:00
Unibet (UK)1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -5.94%E -4.79%K -24.75%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -5.83%E -1.50%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-10 23:00
SportsBet1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -6.70%E -5.45%K -29.12%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.42%E -0.855%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-10 23:00
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.46%E -6.11%K -33.90%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.46%E -2.52%K -3.44%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-10 23:00
PMU (FR)1.21I 82.64%NM 73.75%EV -8.22%E -6.79%K -39.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.25%EV -17.91%E -5.27%K -7.46%G +0.000%12.1%2026-06-10 23:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-10 23:00
Polymarket1.30I 76.92%NM 76.23%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.77%0.9%2026-06-10 23:00
Novig1.30I 76.92%NM 76.01%4.12I 24.27%NM 23.99%1.2%2026-06-10 23:00
ProphetX1.29I 77.52%NM 76.50%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.50%1.3%2026-06-10 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 77.20%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.80%2.0%2026-06-10 23:00
Kalshi1.28I 78.13%NM 76.51%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.49%2.1%2026-06-10 23:00