A Escola das Odds

Seattle Storm v Phoenix Mercury

Início: 2026-06-04 02:00 UTC

Final: Seattle Storm 68–72 Phoenix Mercury

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Seattle Storm (Local)

Previsão 29.26%3.42odd justa
EV +0.964%
Vantagem +0.279%
Kelly +0.393%
Crescimento +0.004%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
27.67%29.36%29.19%32.56%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.903.263.253.4534.48%30.64%30.77%28.99%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)

Previsão 70.74%1.41odd justa
EV -0.971%
Vantagem -0.693%
Kelly -2.43%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.44%70.64%70.81%72.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.241.341.341.4080.65%74.43%74.63%71.43%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
LeoVegas (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.964%E +0.279%K +0.393%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 01:40
Unibet (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.964%E +0.279%K +0.393%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 01:40
LeoVegas3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.964%E +0.279%K +0.393%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 01:40
Unibet (NL)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.964%E +0.279%K +0.393%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 01:39
Unibet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.964%E +0.279%K +0.393%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 01:40
ATG (SE)3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.964%E +0.279%K +0.393%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 01:40
Svenska Spel3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.964%E +0.279%K +0.393%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 01:40
betPARX3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.964%E +0.279%K +0.393%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 01:39
Bally Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.964%E +0.279%K +0.393%G +0.004%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 01:40
theScore Bet3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.500%E -0.147%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-04 01:40
Betway3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.500%E -0.147%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.95%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 01:39
TABtouch3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.500%E -0.147%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-04 01:40
BetRivers3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.500%E -0.147%K -0.208%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-04 01:40
Bet Victor3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -1.96%E -0.586%K -0.835%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.09%E -2.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-04 01:49
ReBet3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -2.84%E -0.856%K -1.22%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.34%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-04 01:40
Pinnacle3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.43%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-04 01:50
MyBookie.ag3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.34%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-04 01:49
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-03 20:44
Fanatics3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 01:40
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-04 01:49
FanDuel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-04 01:40
SportsBet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-04 01:40
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-04 01:40
Hard Rock Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-04 01:29
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-04 01:40
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-04 01:40
Caesars3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -5.77%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.56%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-04 01:13
BetAnything3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -6.35%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.39%E -1.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-03 20:30
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -6.35%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.09%E -2.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 20:36
GTbets3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -6.35%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.09%E -2.26%K -8.36%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 20:39
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.35%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.34%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-04 01:49
BoyleSports3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.35%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 01:29
Fliff3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.35%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.95%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-04 01:30
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.35%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.04%E -6.19%K -26.81%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-04 01:49
LowVig.ag3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -2.39%E -1.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 20:30
BetOnline.ag3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -2.39%E -1.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 20:29
BetUS3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -7.82%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.39%E -1.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-04 01:00
PMU (FR)3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%EV -7.82%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 71.75%EV -12.29%E -9.91%K -51.20%G +0.000%12.4%2026-06-04 01:40
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.28%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.39%E -1.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 18:20
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.28%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.39%E -1.73%K -6.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 18:20
888sport2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.13%E -5.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.971%E -0.693%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 17:50
888sport (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.13%E -5.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.971%E -0.693%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 17:49
Mr Green (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.13%E -5.22%K -7.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.971%E -0.693%K -2.43%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 17:49
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-06-04 01:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-06-04 01:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69%0.3%2026-06-04 01:40
Novig3.42I 29.24%NM 29.05%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.95%0.7%2026-06-04 01:50
ProphetX3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38%0.8%2026-06-04 01:40
Polymarket3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%1.0%2026-06-04 01:40
Kalshi3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%1.9%2026-06-04 01:30