La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Seattle Storm v Phoenix Mercury
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Seattle Storm (Local)
Predicción 29.26%3.42momio equitativo
EV +0.964%
Ventaja +0.279%
Kelly +0.393%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.67%29.36%29.19%32.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.263.253.4534.48%30.64%30.77%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Phoenix Mercury (Visitante)
Predicción 70.74%1.41momio equitativo
EV -0.971%
Ventaja -0.693%
Kelly -2.43%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.44%70.64%70.81%72.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.341.341.4080.65%74.43%74.63%71.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.964%E +0.279%K +0.393%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.964%E +0.279%K +0.393%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| LeoVegas | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.964%E +0.279%K +0.393%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.964%E +0.279%K +0.393%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 01:39 |
| Unibet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.964%E +0.279%K +0.393%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.964%E +0.279%K +0.393%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.964%E +0.279%K +0.393%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| betPARX | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.964%E +0.279%K +0.393%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 01:39 |
| Bally Bet | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV +0.964%E +0.279%K +0.393%G +0.004% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| theScore Bet | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -0.500%E -0.147%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| Betway | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -0.500%E -0.147%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-04 01:39 |
| TABtouch | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.500%E -0.147%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| BetRivers | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -0.500%E -0.147%K -0.208%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| Bet Victor | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.03%EV -1.96%E -0.586%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.97%EV -3.09%E -2.26%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-04 01:49 |
| ReBet | 3.32I 30.12%NM 28.76%EV -2.84%E -0.856%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.24%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%EV -3.43%E -1.04%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-04 01:50 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.26I 30.67%NM 29.13%EV -4.60%E -1.41%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.87%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-04 01:49 |
| BetMGM | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-03 20:44 |
| Fanatics | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| Bovada | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-04 01:49 |
| FanDuel | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| SportsBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-04 01:29 |
| NordicBet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| Betsson | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.88%EV -4.89%E -1.50%K -2.17%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.12%EV -6.63%E -5.02%K -20.72%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| Caesars | 3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -5.77%E -1.79%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -3.80%E -2.79%K -10.56%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-04 01:13 |
| BetAnything | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -6.35%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.87%EV -2.39%E -1.73%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-03 20:30 |
| DraftKings | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -6.35%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.09%E -2.26%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-03 20:36 |
| GTbets | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -6.35%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -3.09%E -2.26%K -8.36%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-03 20:39 |
| TAB | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -6.35%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -5.21%E -3.89%K -15.34%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-04 01:49 |
| BoyleSports | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.35%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-04 01:29 |
| Fliff | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -6.35%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -5.92%E -4.45%K -17.95%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-04 01:30 |
| Paddy Power | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -6.35%E -1.99%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.04%E -6.19%K -26.81%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-04 01:49 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -2.39%E -1.73%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 20:30 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.19I 31.35%NM 30.20%EV -6.65%E -2.08%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.80%EV -2.39%E -1.73%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-03 20:29 |
| BetUS | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -7.82%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -2.39%E -1.73%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-04 01:00 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.25%EV -7.82%E -2.48%K -3.64%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 71.75%EV -12.29%E -9.91%K -51.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.28%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.39%E -1.73%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| Neds | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -9.28%E -2.99%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -2.39%E -1.73%K -6.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-03 18:20 |
| 888sport | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.13%E -5.22%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.971%E -0.693%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 17:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.13%E -5.22%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.971%E -0.693%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 17:49 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -15.13%E -5.22%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -0.971%E -0.693%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-03 17:49 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-06-04 01:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.31% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.69% | 0.3% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| Novig | 3.42I 29.24%NM 29.05% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.95% | 0.7% | 2026-06-04 01:50 |
| ProphetX | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 0.8% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| Polymarket | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 1.0% | 2026-06-04 01:40 |
| Kalshi | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61% | 1.9% | 2026-06-04 01:30 |