Language:English
Seattle Storm v Las Vegas Aces
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Storm (Local)
Prediction 19.25%5.19fair odd
EV +6.86%
Edge +1.24%
Kelly +1.51%
Growth +0.103%
assuming max odds 5.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.04%19.26%19.16%20.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.404.874.865.5522.73%20.52%20.60%18.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Las Vegas Aces (Visit)
Prediction 80.75%1.24fair odd
EV -2.30%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -10.94%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.21
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
79.13%80.74%80.84%82.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.181.181.2187.72%84.73%84.75%82.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Storm (Local): 19.25%; Las Vegas Aces (Visit): 80.75%. For Seattle Storm (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.19. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.86%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fliff🎯 | 5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV +6.86%E +1.24%K +1.51%G +0.103% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -7.95%E -6.97%K -56.78%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-09-18 02:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +3.97%E +0.735%K +0.902%G +0.036% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.72%E -4.00%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +3.97%E +0.735%K +0.902%G +0.036% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.72%E -4.00%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.08%E +0.206%K +0.254%G +0.003% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.14%E -6.21%K -47.61%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +0.118%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.91%E -3.29%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-09-18 02:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -1.81%E -0.354%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.72%E -4.00%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -1.81%E -0.354%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.72%E -4.00%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-09-17 23:25 |
| Caesars🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.81%E -0.354%K -0.441%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 01:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.73%E -0.747%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.91%E -3.29%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.73%E -0.747%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.91%E -3.29%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-09-17 17:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.73%E -0.747%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.72%E -4.00%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-18 01:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.73%E -0.747%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.72%E -4.00%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-17 21:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.73%E -0.747%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-17 17:54 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.73%E -0.747%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-17 17:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.73%E -0.747%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-17 17:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.73%E -0.747%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.73%E -0.747%K -0.933%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-09-18 02:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -3.93%E -0.787%K -0.984%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -6.33%E -5.46%K -39.59%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -4.50%E -0.908%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -3.91%E -3.29%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 01:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -4.50%E -0.908%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -3.91%E -3.29%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-09-18 01:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -4.70%E -0.949%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.72%E -4.00%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-18 01:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.66%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.72%E -4.00%K -26.22%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-18 01:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.66%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-18 01:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.81I 20.79%NM 20.10%EV -7.39%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.90%EV -2.30%E -1.90%K -10.94%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-09-18 02:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -7.58%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.91%E -3.29%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 21:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -7.58%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.91%E -3.29%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-17 21:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.58%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-17 21:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.91%E -3.29%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.91%E -3.29%K -20.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 01:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-09-18 01:50 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -10.47%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -6.33%E -5.46%K -39.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.43%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -11.43%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV -7.95%E -6.97%K -56.78%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -12.40%E -2.72%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-18 02:03 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.36%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 00:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.36%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-09-17 17:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -15.29%E -3.47%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.42%EV -7.95%E -6.97%K -56.78%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17% | 1.0% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| ProphetX◎ | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35% | 1.2% | 2026-09-18 02:10 |
| Novig◎ | 5.71I 17.51%NM 17.25% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.75% | 1.5% | 2026-09-18 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73% | 1.6% | 2026-09-18 02:10 |
| Kalshi◎ | 5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37% | 2.0% | 2026-09-18 02:05 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21% | 4.4% | 2026-09-18 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14% | 9.5% | 2026-09-18 02:10 |