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Seattle Storm v Las Vegas Aces

2026-09-18 02:00 UTC — WNBA

Head to Head

6 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Storm (Local)

Prediction 25.02%4.00fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.300%
Kelly -0.402%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.33%25.02%25.02%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.763.773.9528.57%26.57%26.49%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Las Vegas Aces (Visit)

Prediction 74.98%1.33fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -3.14%
Kelly -14.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.28

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
73.68%74.98%74.98%75.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.271.271.2880.00%78.95%78.74%78.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Seattle Storm (Local): 25.02%; Las Vegas Aces (Visit): 74.98%. For Seattle Storm (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.00. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 3.95, with an expected value of -1.19%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (6 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.19%E -0.300%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.77%E -3.76%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-31 02:25
1xBet🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 24.66%EV -2.94%E -0.757%K -1.02%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.34%EV -4.77%E -3.76%K -17.67%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-31 00:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.94%E -1.30%K -1.76%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.77%E -3.76%K -17.67%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-31 00:30
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -6.19%E -1.65%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.52%E -4.38%K -21.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-31 04:25
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.44%E -2.01%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.02%E -3.14%K -14.36%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-31 04:25
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.44%E -3.56%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.27%E -5.02%K -25.08%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-31 00:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-08-31 03:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-08-31 03:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-08-31 03:55