默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Storm v Las Vegas Aces

开赛时间: 2026-09-18 02:14 UTC

最终结果: Seattle Storm 77–114 Las Vegas Aces

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

46 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Seattle Storm (主队)

预测 19.25%5.19公平赔率
EV +6.86%
优势 +1.24%
Kelly +1.51%
增长率 +0.103%

假设最高赔率为 5.55

博彩公司预测分布
17.04%19.26%19.16%20.87%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.404.874.865.5522.73%20.52%20.60%18.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

Las Vegas Aces (客队)

预测 80.75%1.24公平赔率
EV -2.30%
优势 -1.90%
Kelly -10.94%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.21

博彩公司预测分布
79.13%80.74%80.84%82.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.141.181.181.2187.72%84.73%84.75%82.64%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Seattle Storm (主队):19.25%;Las Vegas Aces (客队):80.75%。 对于“Seattle Storm (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.19。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.55,对应+6.86%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (46 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Fliff🎯5.55I 18.02%NM 17.04%EV +6.86%E +1.24%K +1.51%G +0.103%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.96%EV -7.95%E -6.97%K -56.78%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 02:09
Bet Victor🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +3.97%E +0.735%K +0.902%G +0.036%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.72%E -4.00%K -26.22%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-18 02:05
betano_uk🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.93%EV +3.97%E +0.735%K +0.902%G +0.036%1.18I 84.75%NM 82.07%EV -4.72%E -4.00%K -26.22%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-18 02:05
theScore Bet🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV +1.08%E +0.206%K +0.254%G +0.003%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -7.14%E -6.21%K -47.61%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-18 02:05
Unibet (UK)🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 18.62%EV +0.118%E +0.023%K +0.028%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 81.38%EV -3.91%E -3.29%K -20.59%G +0.000%3.3%2026-09-18 02:10
ReBet🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -1.81%E -0.354%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.72%E -4.00%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-18 02:05
BetAnything🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%EV -1.81%E -0.354%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%EV -4.72%E -4.00%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.4%2026-09-17 23:25
Caesars🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -1.81%E -0.354%K -0.441%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 01:40
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.73%E -0.747%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.91%E -3.29%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-18 02:05
BetUS🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.22%EV -3.73%E -0.747%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.78%EV -3.91%E -3.29%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-17 17:45
Fanatics🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.73%E -0.747%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.72%E -4.00%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-18 01:30
BetMGM🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -3.73%E -0.747%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -4.72%E -4.00%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-17 21:30
888sport🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.73%E -0.747%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-17 17:54
888sport (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.73%E -0.747%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-17 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.73%E -0.747%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-17 17:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.73%E -0.747%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 02:05
Betway🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -3.73%E -0.747%K -0.933%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-18 02:00
GTbets🎯4.99I 20.04%NM 18.86%EV -3.93%E -0.787%K -0.984%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.14%EV -6.33%E -5.46%K -39.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 02:05
LowVig.ag🎯4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -4.50%E -0.908%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -3.91%E -3.29%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 01:29
BetOnline.ag🎯4.96I 20.16%NM 19.35%EV -4.50%E -0.908%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.65%EV -3.91%E -3.29%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-18 01:30
Betr (AU)🎯4.95I 20.20%NM 19.25%EV -4.70%E -0.949%K -1.19%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.75%EV -4.72%E -4.00%K -26.22%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 01:35
FanDuel🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -5.66%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -4.72%E -4.00%K -26.22%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-18 01:45
SportsBet🎯4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV -5.66%E -1.15%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-18 01:25
Pinnacle🎯4.81I 20.79%NM 20.10%EV -7.39%E -1.54%K -1.94%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.90%EV -2.30%E -1.90%K -10.94%G +0.000%3.4%2026-09-18 02:00
Neds🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -7.58%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.91%E -3.29%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 21:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -7.58%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -3.91%E -3.29%K -20.59%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-17 21:30
TAB🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -7.58%E -1.58%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 02:05
Unibet (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 02:05
Unibet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 02:05
Unibet (NL)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 02:05
betPARX🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 02:05
Bally Bet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 02:05
ATG (SE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 02:05
Svenska Spel🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-18 02:05
BetRivers🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.91%E -3.29%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 02:05
TABtouch🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.20%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.80%EV -3.91%E -3.29%K -20.59%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 02:05
NordicBet🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 01:50
Betsson🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 19.93%EV -9.51%E -2.02%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.07%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-18 01:50
Coolbet🎯4.65I 21.51%NM 19.97%EV -10.47%E -2.25%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.03%EV -6.33%E -5.46%K -39.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 02:05
Bet Right🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -11.43%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-18 02:05
LeoVegas🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%EV -11.43%E -2.49%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%EV -7.95%E -6.97%K -56.78%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-18 02:05
Bovada🎯4.55I 21.98%NM 20.87%EV -12.40%E -2.72%K -3.49%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.13%EV -3.10%E -2.59%K -15.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 02:03
Paddy Power🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.36%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 00:04
BoyleSports🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV -13.36%E -2.97%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -5.53%E -4.72%K -32.51%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 17:55
PMU (FR)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 20.58%EV -15.29%E -3.47%K -4.50%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.42%EV -7.95%E -6.97%K -56.78%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-18 02:05
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Polymarket◎5.88I 17.01%NM 16.83%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.17%1.0%2026-09-18 02:05
ProphetX◎5.60I 17.86%NM 17.65%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.35%1.2%2026-09-18 02:10
Novig◎5.71I 17.51%NM 17.25%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.75%1.5%2026-09-18 02:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎5.70I 17.54%NM 17.27%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.73%1.6%2026-09-18 02:10
Kalshi◎5.56I 17.99%NM 17.63%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.37%2.0%2026-09-18 02:05
Matchbook◎5.10I 19.61%NM 18.79%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.21%4.4%2026-09-18 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%9.5%2026-09-18 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.60I 21.74%NM 19.86%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.14%9.5%2026-09-18 02:10