The School of Odds

Seattle Storm v Indiana Fever

2026-07-29 01:30 UTC — WNBA

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Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Seattle Storm (Local)

Prediction 29.73%3.36fair odd
EV -1.88%
Edge -0.570%
Kelly -0.818%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.57%29.73%29.69%30.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.153.233.253.3032%31%31%30%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Indiana Fever (Visit)

Prediction 70.27%1.42fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -2.73%
Kelly -10.09%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.37

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.69%70.27%70.31%71.43%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.301.341.351.3777%74%74%73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -1.88%E -0.570%K -0.818%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -7.25%E -5.49%K -22.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-23 03:49
GTbets3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.37%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.44%E -3.26%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-23 06:34
Betr (AU)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -3.37%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -5.14%E -3.81%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 05:44
FanDuel3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -3.37%E -1.04%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -5.84%E -4.36%K -17.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-23 03:49
Caesars3.22I 31.06%NM 29.69%EV -4.26%E -1.32%K -1.92%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.31%EV -4.44%E -3.26%K -12.32%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-23 05:33
Paddy Power3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -4.86%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -8.65%E -6.66%K -28.84%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-23 03:49
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 30.31%EV -6.34%E -2.01%K -2.95%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.69%EV -3.73%E -2.73%K -10.09%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-23 05:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Polymarket2.70I 37.04%NM 33.99%1.39I 71.94%NM 66.01%9.0%2026-07-23 07:05