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Seattle Storm v Indiana Fever
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Seattle Storm (Local)
Prediction 23.00%4.35fair odd
EV +5.82%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +1.62%
Growth +0.094%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.83%22.98%22.94%25.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.654.144.204.6027.40%24.13%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Indiana Fever (Visit)
Prediction 77.00%1.30fair odd
EV -3.76%
Edge -3.00%
Kelly -15.02%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.95%77.02%77.06%79.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.231.241.2584.75%81.02%80.65%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Storm (Local): 23.00%; Indiana Fever (Visit): 77.00%. For Seattle Storm (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.35. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.82%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +5.82%E +1.26%K +1.62%G +0.094% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 01:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.22%E +0.277%K +0.358%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 01:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.22%E +0.277%K +0.358%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 01:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.22%E +0.277%K +0.358%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV +0.068%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.08%E -0.252%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.08%E -0.252%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 01:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -1.77%E -0.415%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -2.23%E -0.525%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-29 01:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -2.23%E -0.525%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.23%E -0.525%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -2.23%E -0.525%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 01:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 01:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.30%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.30%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.53%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 01:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 00:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 01:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.14%E -7.75%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 01:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-29 01:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -16.03%E -4.39%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-29 01:14 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.45% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.55% | 0.2% | 2026-07-29 01:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-29 01:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 01:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 01:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-07-28 08:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 1.7% | 2026-07-29 01:24 |
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