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Seattle Storm v Indiana Fever
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Seattle Storm (Local)
Predicción 23.00%4.35momio equitativo
EV +5.82%
Ventaja +1.26%
Kelly +1.62%
Crecimiento +0.094%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.83%22.98%22.94%25.05%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.654.144.204.6027.40%24.13%23.81%21.74%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Indiana Fever (Visitante)
Predicción 77.00%1.30momio equitativo
EV -3.76%
Ventaja -3.00%
Kelly -15.02%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
74.95%77.02%77.06%79.17%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.181.231.241.2584.75%81.02%80.65%80.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Seattle Storm (Local): 23.00%; Indiana Fever (Visitante): 77.00%. Para Seattle Storm (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 4.35. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +5.82%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +5.82%E +1.26%K +1.62%G +0.094% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.55%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 01:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.22%E +0.277%K +0.358%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 01:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV +1.22%E +0.277%K +0.358%G +0.004% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 01:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +1.22%E +0.277%K +0.358%G +0.004% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.18%EV +0.068%E +0.016%K +0.020%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.82%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.08%E -0.252%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -1.08%E -0.252%K -0.328%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-29 01:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.27I 23.42%NM 22.36%EV -1.77%E -0.415%K -0.542%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.64%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -2.23%E -0.525%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-29 01:18 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.73%EV -2.23%E -0.525%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.27%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -2.23%E -0.525%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |
| Fliff🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -2.23%E -0.525%K -0.687%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.83%E -5.65%K -32.55%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 01:10 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-07-29 01:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -3.38%E -0.805%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.30%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.16I 24.04%NM 23.11%EV -4.30%E -1.03%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.89%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -4.53%E -1.09%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-07-29 01:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -5.68%E -1.39%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 01:14 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-28 16:24 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 00:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-07-29 01:08 |
| ReBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.30%E -4.30%K -23.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.78%EV -7.98%E -2.00%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.22%EV -9.14%E -7.75%K -50.80%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-07-29 01:19 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -9.13%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -4.53%E -3.65%K -18.85%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-29 01:05 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -10.28%E -2.64%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -3.76%E -3.00%K -15.02%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-29 01:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -13.73%E -3.66%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 75.76%EV -7.60%E -6.34%K -38.02%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-07-29 01:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.05%EV -16.03%E -4.39%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.95%EV -6.07%E -4.97%K -27.57%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-07-29 01:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 4.65I 21.51%NM 21.45% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.55% | 0.2% | 2026-07-29 01:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.70I 21.28%NM 21.14% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.86% | 0.6% | 2026-07-29 01:25 |
| Polymarket◎ | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 0.7% | 2026-07-29 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 01:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 01:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.50% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 78.50% | 1.1% | 2026-07-29 01:24 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.35I 22.99%NM 22.74% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 77.26% | 1.1% | 2026-07-28 08:09 |
| ProphetX◎ | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.37% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.63% | 1.7% | 2026-07-29 01:24 |