Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Storm v Golden State Valkyries

Kickoff: 2026-06-13 02:03 UTC

Final: Seattle Storm 72–76 Golden State Valkyries

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Seattle Storm (Local)

Prediction 21.67%4.62fair odd
EV +3.99%
Edge +0.832%
Kelly +1.05%
Growth +0.042%

assuming max odds 4.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.90%21.65%21.62%23.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.334.304.8025.97%23.07%23.26%20.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Golden State Valkyries (Visit)

Prediction 78.33%1.28fair odd
EV -2.08%
Edge -1.67%
Kelly -8.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.85%78.35%78.38%80.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.161.221.221.2586.21%82.11%81.97%80.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Seattle Storm (Local): 21.67%; Golden State Valkyries (Visit): 78.33%. For Seattle Storm (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.62. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.99%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV +3.99%E +0.832%K +1.05%G +0.042%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.8%2026-06-13 01:58
Fliff🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +2.91%E +0.613%K +0.776%G +0.023%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.56%E -6.41%K -42.03%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 01:59
Bovada🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +1.83%E +0.389%K +0.494%G +0.009%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 01:59
theScore Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 01:59
Pinnacle🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.18%EV -1.64%E -0.361%K -0.463%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.82%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 02:00
DraftKings🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 01:59
BetMGM🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 02:00
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 02:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-13 02:00
Caesars🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -3.59%E -0.807%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-13 01:59
GTbets🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-13 01:59
Fanatics🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 02:00
ReBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-13 01:59
SportsBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 02:00
Unibet (UK)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.86%E -2.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 01:59
BetOnline.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.86%E -2.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-13 02:00
Unibet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 02:00
Unibet (NL)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 02:00
LeoVegas🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 01:59
Unibet (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 01:59
Svenska Spel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 02:00
betPARX🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 02:00
ATG (SE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 02:00
Bally Bet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 02:00
FanDuel🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 02:00
MyBookie.ag🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 01:58
NordicBet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-13 01:59
Betsson🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-13 01:59
BetAnything🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.86%E -2.31%K -11.94%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 01:59
Neds🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 01:59
BetUS🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.08%E -1.67%K -8.33%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-13 01:59
BetRivers🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 02:00
TABtouch🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 01:59
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 01:59
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 01:59
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 01:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 01:59
BoyleSports🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.17%E -2.73%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-13 01:59
Paddy Power🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-13 01:59
PMU (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -16.59%E -4.31%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 76.85%EV -9.13%E -7.87%K -57.07%G +0.000%12.2%2026-06-13 02:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-06-13 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-06-13 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-06-13 02:00
Novig4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87%1.8%2026-06-13 02:00
Kalshi4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47%2.3%2026-06-13 02:00
Polymarket4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28%1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72%3.3%2026-06-13 02:00
ProphetX4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%5.1%2026-06-13 02:00