La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Seattle Storm v Golden State Valkyries
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Seattle Storm (Local)
Predicción 21.67%4.62momio equitativo
EV +3.99%
Ventaja +0.832%
Kelly +1.05%
Crecimiento +0.042%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
19.90%21.65%21.62%23.15%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.854.334.304.8025.97%23.07%23.26%20.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Golden State Valkyries (Visitante)
Predicción 78.33%1.28momio equitativo
EV -2.08%
Ventaja -1.67%
Kelly -8.33%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.25
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
76.85%78.35%78.38%80.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.161.221.221.2586.21%82.11%81.97%80.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.27%EV +3.99%E +0.832%K +1.05%G +0.042% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 79.73%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-06-13 01:58 |
| Fliff | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +2.91%E +0.613%K +0.776%G +0.023% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -7.56%E -6.41%K -42.03%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| Bovada | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.34%EV +1.83%E +0.389%K +0.494%G +0.009% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.66%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| theScore Bet | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69%EV -0.340%E -0.074%K -0.094%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| Pinnacle | 4.54I 22.03%NM 21.18%EV -1.64%E -0.361%K -0.463%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.82%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| DraftKings | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| BetMGM | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| Betway | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV -2.51%E -0.557%K -0.716%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| Caesars | 4.45I 22.47%NM 21.52%EV -3.59%E -0.807%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.48%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| GTbets | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.85%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.15%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| Fanatics | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| ReBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| SportsBet | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV -4.67%E -1.06%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.62%EV -5.76%E -1.32%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.38%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.86%E -2.31%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.38%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.62%EV -2.86%E -2.31%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| Unibet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| LeoVegas | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| betPARX | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| Bally Bet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.24%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.76%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| FanDuel | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| MyBookie.ag | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-13 01:58 |
| NordicBet | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| Betsson | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -6.84%E -1.59%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| BetAnything | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -2.86%E -2.31%K -11.94%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| Neds | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.92%E -1.86%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| BetUS | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.06%EV -2.08%E -1.67%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| BetRivers | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| TABtouch | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -3.65%E -2.97%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| 888sport | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| TAB | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -9.01%E -2.14%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.43%E -3.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| BoyleSports | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -11.17%E -2.73%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.36%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| Paddy Power | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -13.34%E -3.33%K -4.45%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.00%E -5.00%K -29.99%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-13 01:59 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.15%EV -16.59%E -4.31%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 76.85%EV -9.13%E -7.87%K -57.07%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67% | 0.4% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34% | 0.8% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| Novig | 4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87% | 1.8% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| Kalshi | 4.76I 21.01%NM 20.53% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 79.47% | 2.3% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| Polymarket | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.28% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 78.72% | 3.3% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |
| ProphetX | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.69% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 79.31% | 5.1% | 2026-06-13 02:00 |