Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Fire v Seattle Storm

Kickoff: 2026-08-09 00:34 UTC

Final: Portland Fire 100–93 Seattle Storm

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Fire (Local)

Prediction 48.17%2.08fair odd
EV -1.26%
Edge -0.614%
Kelly -1.20%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.89%48.29%48.07%50.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.811.951.952.0555.25%51.37%51.28%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Seattle Storm (Visit)

Prediction 51.83%1.93fair odd
EV -0.480%
Edge -0.250%
Kelly -0.522%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.92

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
49.60%51.71%51.93%53.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.851.831.9256.50%54.10%54.64%52.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Fire (Local): 48.17%; Seattle Storm (Visit): 51.83%. For Seattle Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.93. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.92, with an expected value of -0.480%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -1.26%E -0.614%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -6.18%E -3.42%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 21:45
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 19:29
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 19:29
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 23:59
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 23:54
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 20:49
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 19:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 19:25
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 00:05
ReBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 21:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 22:58
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.63%E -2.34%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.63%E -2.34%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 00:25
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.63%E -2.34%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 00:24
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.63%E -2.34%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.63%E -2.34%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:49
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.59%E -2.85%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.66%E -3.11%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 23:19
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 23:00
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 23:06
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 00:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 00:10
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 21:49
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 21:49
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 20:50
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 00:14
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.56%E -3.38%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.52%E -3.92%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 00:04
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 00:00
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -8.26%E -4.66%K -10.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 21:48
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -8.26%E -4.66%K -10.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 21:48
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.96%E -4.74%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.480%E -0.250%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 00:15
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.96%E -4.74%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.480%E -0.250%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 00:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.96%E -4.74%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.480%E -0.250%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 00:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.96%E -4.74%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.480%E -0.250%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 00:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.96%E -4.74%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.480%E -0.250%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 00:15
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.96%E -4.74%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.480%E -0.250%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 00:15
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.96%E -4.74%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.480%E -0.250%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 00:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.96%E -4.74%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.480%E -0.250%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 00:14
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.45%E -5.02%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -0.999%E -0.523%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 00:15
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.45%E -5.02%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -0.999%E -0.523%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 00:15
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -11.85%E -6.48%K -14.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 21:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%EV -12.82%E -7.08%K -15.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 00:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-08-09 00:25
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-09 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-08-09 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-08-09 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-08-09 00:25
Kalshi2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-08 20:45
ProphetX2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-08-09 00:25