Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Portland Fire v Seattle Storm

Início: 2026-08-09 00:34 UTC

Final: Portland Fire 100–93 Seattle Storm

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Portland Fire (Local)

Previsão 48.17%2.08odd justa
EV -1.26%
Vantagem -0.614%
Kelly -1.20%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.05

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.89%48.29%48.07%50.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.811.951.952.0555.25%51.37%51.28%48.78%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Storm (Visitante)

Previsão 51.83%1.93odd justa
EV -0.480%
Vantagem -0.250%
Kelly -0.522%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.92

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
49.60%51.71%51.93%53.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.771.851.831.9256.50%54.10%54.64%52.08%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Portland Fire (Local): 48.17%; Seattle Storm (Visitante): 51.83%. Para Seattle Storm (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.93. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.92, com valor esperado de -0.480%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.89%EV -1.26%E -0.614%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 53.11%EV -6.18%E -3.42%K -7.63%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 00:00
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-08 21:45
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 21:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 19:29
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 19:29
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 23:59
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 23:54
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-08 20:49
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 19:29
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 19:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 19:25
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.67%E -1.83%K -3.67%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.38%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-09 00:05
ReBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 21:15
MyBookie.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -4.15%E -2.08%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-08 22:58
DraftKings🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -4.63%E -2.34%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-09 00:10
Betr (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.63%E -2.34%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 00:25
Bet Right🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.63%E -2.34%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 00:24
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.63%E -2.34%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -4.63%E -2.34%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-08 20:49
Coolbet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -5.59%E -2.85%K -5.83%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -5.66%E -3.11%K -6.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-08 23:19
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 23:00
Caesars🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 23:06
GTbets🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 23:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 00:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-09 00:10
BetUS🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -3.07%E -1.64%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-08 23:05
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 21:49
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 21:49
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 20:50
Fliff🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.07%E -3.12%K -6.39%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.38%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-09 00:14
FanDuel🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -6.56%E -3.38%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 00:05
SportsBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -7.52%E -3.92%K -8.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -2.55%E -1.36%K -2.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 00:04
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -6.70%E -3.72%K -8.38%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-09 00:00
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -8.26%E -4.66%K -10.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 21:48
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.10%EV -8.00%E -4.19%K -8.79%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.90%EV -8.26%E -4.66%K -10.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-08 21:48
Unibet (NL)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.96%E -4.74%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.480%E -0.250%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 00:15
Unibet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.96%E -4.74%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.480%E -0.250%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 00:14
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.96%E -4.74%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.480%E -0.250%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 00:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.96%E -4.74%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.480%E -0.250%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 00:15
ATG (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.96%E -4.74%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.480%E -0.250%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 00:15
Bally Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.96%E -4.74%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.480%E -0.250%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 00:15
betPARX🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.96%E -4.74%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.480%E -0.250%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 00:14
Svenska Spel🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -8.96%E -4.74%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -0.480%E -0.250%K -0.522%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-09 00:14
BetRivers🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.45%E -5.02%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -0.999%E -0.523%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 00:15
TABtouch🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -9.45%E -5.02%K -10.73%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -0.999%E -0.523%K -1.10%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 00:15
LeoVegas🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -11.85%E -6.48%K -14.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -4.11%E -2.22%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-08 21:14
PMU (FR)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 50.27%EV -12.82%E -7.08%K -15.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -5.15%E -2.81%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-09 00:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.24%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.76%0.6%2026-08-09 00:25
Novig◎2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-08-09 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-08-09 00:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-08-09 00:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.11%1.91I 52.36%NM 51.89%0.9%2026-08-09 00:25
Kalshi◎2.04I 49.02%NM 48.48%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.52%1.1%2026-08-08 20:45
ProphetX◎2.06I 48.54%NM 47.98%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.02%1.2%2026-08-09 00:25