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Portland Fire v Golden State Valkyries
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Fire (Local)
Prediction 31.03%3.22fair odd
EV -0.696%
Edge -0.217%
Kelly -0.316%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.82%31.11%31.11%33.65%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.063.063.2035.71%32.73%32.68%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Golden State Valkyries (Visit)
Prediction 68.97%1.45fair odd
EV -2.07%
Edge -1.46%
Kelly -4.92%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.35%68.89%68.89%70.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.381.381.4276.92%72.55%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Fire (Local): 31.03%; Golden State Valkyries (Visit): 68.97%. For Portland Fire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -0.696%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.696%E -0.217%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 22:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.696%E -0.217%K -0.316%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 22:59 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 22:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.58%E -5.66%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -3.18%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 22:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 22:53 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 22:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.45%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 22:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.35%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.35%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 22:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.35%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 22:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.35%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -5.66%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-30 21:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -6.28%E -2.08%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.51%E -4.03%K -14.90%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.34%E -7.96%K -34.47%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -7.52%E -2.52%K -3.80%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 22:58 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-30 22:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.89%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-30 21:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-30 21:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25% | 1.0% | 2026-08-30 22:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53% | 1.3% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.06% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.94% | 1.4% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61% | 1.9% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74% | 3.2% | 2026-08-30 23:00 |