默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Portland Fire v Golden State Valkyries

开赛时间: 2026-08-30 23:04 UTC

最终结果: Portland Fire 69–86 Golden State Valkyries

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

47 家博彩公司 (15 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Portland Fire (主队)

预测 31.03%3.22公平赔率
EV -0.696%
优势 -0.217%
Kelly -0.316%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.20

博彩公司预测分布
29.82%31.11%31.11%33.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.803.063.063.2035.71%32.73%32.68%31.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Golden State Valkyries (客队)

预测 68.97%1.45公平赔率
EV -2.07%
优势 -1.46%
Kelly -4.92%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.42

博彩公司预测分布
66.35%68.89%68.89%70.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.381.381.4276.92%72.55%72.46%70.42%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Portland Fire (主队):31.03%;Golden State Valkyries (客队):68.97%。 对于“Portland Fire (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.22。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为3.20,期望值为-0.696%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (47 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Bally Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.696%E -0.217%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 22:59
Unibet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -0.696%E -0.217%K -0.316%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 22:59
betano_uk🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 22:54
Bet Victor🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-30 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 22:55
BetOnline.ag🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 22:55
BetAnything🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 22:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 23:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 23:00
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 23:00
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 23:00
betPARX🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 23:00
Fliff🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -2.25%E -0.713%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -7.58%E -5.66%K -22.30%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 23:00
Pinnacle🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -3.18%E -1.02%K -1.50%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-30 23:00
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 23:00
theScore Bet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 23:00
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.11%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.89%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-30 22:59
Fanatics🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 23:00
Caesars🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 22:53
GTbets🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 22:59
BetUS🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -3.80%E -1.23%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 22:55
ReBet🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.24%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.76%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 22:59
MyBookie.ag🎯3.06I 32.68%NM 31.08%EV -5.04%E -1.65%K -2.45%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.92%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 22:59
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -5.35%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 23:00
FanDuel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -5.35%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 22:45
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.35%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 22:59
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -5.35%E -1.75%K -2.61%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-30 23:00
1xBet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.53%EV -5.66%E -1.86%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.47%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-30 21:50
SportsBet🎯3.02I 33.11%NM 31.21%EV -6.28%E -2.08%K -3.11%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.79%EV -5.51%E -4.03%K -14.90%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 22:55
BetMGM🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-30 22:05
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 22:55
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.66%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.34%EV -4.14%E -2.98%K -10.60%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 22:55
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 23:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 23:00
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-30 23:00
PMU (FR)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.23%EV -6.90%E -2.30%K -3.45%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.77%EV -10.34%E -7.96%K -34.47%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-30 23:00
Coolbet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.65%EV -7.52%E -2.52%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.35%EV -4.82%E -3.50%K -12.70%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 22:58
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 22:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-30 22:05
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 22:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 22:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.45%E -2.46%K -8.61%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 22:55
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -10.01%E -3.45%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV -6.89%E -5.11%K -19.70%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 23:00
Paddy Power🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.08%EV -10.63%E -3.69%K -5.65%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.92%EV -6.20%E -4.56%K -17.23%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-30 21:44
TAB🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -13.11%E -4.68%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -2.07%E -1.46%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-30 21:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.40I 29.41%NM 29.17%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.83%0.8%2026-08-30 23:00
Polymarket◎3.33I 30.03%NM 29.75%1.41I 70.92%NM 70.25%1.0%2026-08-30 22:55
Matchbook◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%1.3%2026-08-30 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%1.3%2026-08-30 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.40I 71.43%NM 70.53%1.3%2026-08-30 23:00
Novig◎3.28I 30.49%NM 30.06%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.94%1.4%2026-08-30 23:00
Kalshi◎3.23I 30.96%NM 30.39%1.41I 70.92%NM 69.61%1.9%2026-08-30 23:00
ProphetX◎3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%3.2%2026-08-30 23:00