Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Fire v Dallas Wings

Kickoff: 2026-06-14 00:33 UTC

Final: Portland Fire 84–83 Dallas Wings

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Fire (Local)

Prediction 40.84%2.45fair odd
EV +0.051%
Edge +0.021%
Kelly +0.035%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.89%40.80%40.74%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.352.352.4545.45%42.63%42.46%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Dallas Wings (Visit)

Prediction 59.16%1.69fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -3.66%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%59.20%59.26%61.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.601.601.6567.11%62.32%62.31%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Fire (Local): 40.84%; Dallas Wings (Visit): 59.16%. For Portland Fire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.449. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.450, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.051%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetMGM🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.051%E +0.021%K +0.035%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 00:30
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -1.17%E -0.485%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -8.89%E -5.77%K -16.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 00:30
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -1.17%E -0.485%K -0.827%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -8.89%E -5.77%K -16.46%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-14 00:29
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.99%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.3%2026-06-14 00:29
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.99%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-14 00:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.99%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-14 00:30
BetAnything🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.99%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.70%G +0.000%3.4%2026-06-14 00:29
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.99%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-14 00:28
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.99%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-14 00:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.99%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.52%E -4.13%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 00:30
Neds🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.99%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.52%E -4.13%K -11.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 00:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 00:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 00:30
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 00:30
Unibet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 00:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 00:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 00:30
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 00:30
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 00:30
betPARX🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-14 00:30
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.62%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 00:30
BetUS🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-14 00:29
theScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-14 00:30
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.70%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-14 00:29
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-14 00:30
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 00:30
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-14 00:30
MyBookie.ag🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.85%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-14 00:29
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-14 00:30
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 00:29
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 00:30
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 00:29
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-14 00:29
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 00:30
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-14 00:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.93%E -3.73%K -10.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-14 00:30
FanDuel🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -7.71%E -3.41%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 00:30
ReBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -7.71%E -3.41%K -6.12%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-14 00:28
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.56%E -2.19%K -5.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-14 00:30
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-14 00:30
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.70%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-14 00:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 59.62%EV -11.85%E -7.95%K -24.18%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-14 00:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-06-14 00:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-06-14 00:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71%0.9%2026-06-14 00:30
Kalshi2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20%1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%2.0%2026-06-14 00:30
ProphetX2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85%3.0%2026-06-14 00:30
Novig2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30%3.7%2026-06-14 00:30
Polymarket2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%4.1%2026-06-14 00:30