La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Portland Fire v Dallas Wings
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Portland Fire (Local)
Predicción 40.84%2.45momio equitativo
EV +0.051%
Ventaja +0.021%
Kelly +0.035%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.89%40.80%40.74%42.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.352.352.4545.45%42.63%42.46%40.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Dallas Wings (Visitante)
Predicción 59.16%1.69momio equitativo
EV -2.38%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -3.66%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.65
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.59%59.20%59.26%61.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.491.601.601.6567.11%62.32%62.31%60.61%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV +0.051%E +0.021%K +0.035%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| Betsson | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -1.17%E -0.485%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -8.89%E -5.77%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| NordicBet | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -1.17%E -0.485%K -0.827%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -8.89%E -5.77%K -16.46%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-14 00:29 |
| Bet Victor | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%EV -1.99%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-06-14 00:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.99%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-14 00:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.99%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| BetAnything | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -1.99%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-06-14 00:29 |
| Caesars | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.99%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-14 00:28 |
| Bovada | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.15%EV -1.99%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-06-14 00:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.99%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.52%E -4.13%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| Neds | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -1.99%E -0.830%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -6.52%E -4.13%K -11.25%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| LeoVegas | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| Unibet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| Bally Bet | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| betPARX | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.18%K -2.03%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.80%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.70%EV -3.62%E -1.54%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.30%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| BetUS | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-14 00:29 |
| theScore Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 41.25%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.75%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| GTbets | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.81%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.19%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-14 00:29 |
| Fanatics | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.03%E -1.72%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.85%E -2.08%K -3.65%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-14 00:29 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| 888sport | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-14 00:29 |
| Betway | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-14 00:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.75%E -2.95%K -7.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-14 00:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| TAB | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.34%E -3.34%K -8.90%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.07%E -2.64%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.93%E -3.73%K -10.05%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| FanDuel | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -7.71%E -3.41%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| ReBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 42.20%EV -7.71%E -3.41%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.80%EV -2.38%E -1.44%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-14 00:28 |
| SportsBet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -3.56%E -2.19%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.12%E -3.61%K -6.49%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.11%E -4.53%K -12.48%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -4.16%E -2.57%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-14 00:29 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.38%EV -10.16%E -4.62%K -8.47%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 59.62%EV -11.85%E -7.95%K -24.18%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.29% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.71% | 0.9% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| Kalshi | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.20% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 2.0% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| ProphetX | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.15% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.85% | 3.0% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| Novig | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.70% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.30% | 3.7% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |
| Polymarket | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65% | 4.1% | 2026-06-14 00:30 |