Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Fire v Chicago Sky

Kickoff: 2026-05-10 01:05 UTC

Final: Portland Fire 83–98 Chicago Sky

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

42 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Portland Fire (Local)

Prediction 34.62%2.89fair odd
EV +1.42%
Edge +0.486%
Kelly +0.738%
Growth +0.011%

assuming max odds 2.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.80%34.56%34.94%36.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.782.802.9338.46%35.91%35.71%34.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Chicago Sky (Visit)

Prediction 65.38%1.53fair odd
EV -1.92%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -3.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.86%65.44%65.06%67.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.441.441.5075.19%69.24%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Fire (Local): 34.62%; Chicago Sky (Visit): 65.38%. For Portland Fire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.93, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.42%.

Sportsbook Odds (42 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV +1.42%E +0.486%K +0.738%G +0.011%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -6.50%E -4.55%K -15.12%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-09 23:55
betPARX🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 00:49
Bally Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 00:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 00:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 00:49
Unibet (NL)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 00:49
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 00:49
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 00:49
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 00:50
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 00:49
Svenska Spel🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001%1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-10 00:49
BetRivers🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.306%E -0.106%K -0.163%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-10 00:49
DraftKings🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.34%E -0.472%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 01:00
Bovada🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.34%E -0.472%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-09 23:43
GTbets🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.34%E -0.472%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 00:39
Fanatics🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.34%E -0.472%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 00:59
BetMGM🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.34%E -0.472%K -0.727%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-10 00:54
MyBookie.ag🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -2.73%E -0.971%K -1.51%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 01:00
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 01:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-10 00:59
Caesars🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 00:29
BetUS🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 00:40
BetAnything🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-10 00:39
Fliff🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -10.42%E -7.61%K -28.17%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-10 00:40
Bet Victor🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -1.92%E -1.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-10 00:58
theScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-10 01:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 00:54
Bet Right🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 00:54
FanDuel🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -5.85%E -2.15%K -3.40%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -3.89%E -2.64%K -8.27%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-10 00:50
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 01:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 00:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-10 00:54
Coolbet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-10 00:59
PMU (FR)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -13.04%E -9.80%K -39.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-05-10 00:49
SportsBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -7.23%E -2.70%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -4.54%E -3.11%K -9.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-10 00:59
ReBet🎯2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -7.58%E -2.84%K -4.54%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-10 00:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.92%E -1.28%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-10 00:59
Betway🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-10 00:59
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.31%E -3.55%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-10 00:00
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.54%E -3.11%K -9.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 00:59
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.54%E -3.11%K -9.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-10 01:00
BoyleSports🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-10 00:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%1.8%2026-05-10 00:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%1.8%2026-05-10 00:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%1.8%2026-05-10 00:49
Novig2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36%1.8%2026-05-10 00:59
ProphetX2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%4.7%2026-05-10 01:00