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Portland Fire v Chicago Sky
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Portland Fire (Local)
Predicción 34.62%2.89momio equitativo
EV +1.42%
Ventaja +0.486%
Kelly +0.738%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.93
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
32.80%34.56%34.94%36.14%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.602.782.802.9338.46%35.91%35.71%34.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Chicago Sky (Visitante)
Predicción 65.38%1.53momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -1.28%
Kelly -3.85%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.86%65.44%65.06%67.20%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.331.441.441.5075.19%69.24%69.44%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Portland Fire (Local): 34.62%; Chicago Sky (Visitante): 65.38%. Para Portland Fire (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.89. 11 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.93, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +1.42%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (42 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV +1.42%E +0.486%K +0.738%G +0.011% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -6.50%E -4.55%K -15.12%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-09 23:55 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 00:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.87%EV +0.386%E +0.133%K +0.203%G +0.001% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.13%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -0.306%E -0.106%K -0.163%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV -7.15%E -5.04%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.34%E -0.472%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.34%E -0.472%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-09 23:43 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.34%E -0.472%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.34%E -0.472%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 00:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.57%EV -1.34%E -0.472%K -0.727%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.43%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.88%EV -2.73%E -0.971%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.12%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-10 00:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 00:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 00:39 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.85%EV -3.08%E -1.10%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.15%EV -10.42%E -7.61%K -28.17%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-10 00:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -1.92%E -1.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-10 00:58 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.81%E -1.75%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -5.85%E -2.15%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -3.89%E -2.64%K -8.27%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-10 00:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 00:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-10 00:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.19%E -3.58%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-10 00:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.00%EV -6.54%E -2.42%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 67.00%EV -13.04%E -9.80%K -39.51%G +0.000% | 12.2% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.27%EV -7.23%E -2.70%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.73%EV -4.54%E -3.11%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-10 00:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.66%EV -7.58%E -2.84%K -4.54%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.34%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-10 00:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -1.92%E -1.28%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-10 00:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -8.27%E -3.12%K -5.01%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -3.23%E -2.18%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-10 00:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.31%E -3.55%K -5.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-10 00:00 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.54%E -3.11%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 00:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -4.54%E -3.11%K -9.87%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.00%E -3.85%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.85%E -4.06%K -13.29%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-10 00:59 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36% | 1.8% | 2026-05-10 00:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36% | 1.8% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36% | 1.8% | 2026-05-10 00:49 |
| Novig◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.64% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.36% | 1.8% | 2026-05-10 00:59 |
| ProphetX◎ | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.64% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36% | 4.7% | 2026-05-10 01:00 |