Language:English
Portland Fire v Atlanta Dream
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Portland Fire (Local)
Prediction 24.83%4.03fair odd
EV +4.30%
Edge +1.02%
Kelly +1.34%
Growth +0.058%
assuming max odds 4.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.79%24.90%24.83%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.803.804.2031.25%26.28%26.32%23.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Atlanta Dream (Visit)
Prediction 75.17%1.33fair odd
EV -3.03%
Edge -2.35%
Kelly -10.47%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.29
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.91%75.10%75.17%77.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.271.271.2984.03%79.01%78.74%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Portland Fire (Local): 24.83%; Atlanta Dream (Visit): 75.17%. For Portland Fire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.03. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.30%.
Sportsbook Odds (46 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +4.30%E +1.02%K +1.34%G +0.058% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.79%E -5.48%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.667%E -0.167%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-30 00:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.667%E -0.167%K -0.222%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.30%E -6.80%K -37.71%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.91%E -0.483%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 01:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -1.91%E -0.483%K -0.647%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.79%E -5.48%K -28.31%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.79%E -2.96%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 01:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.29%E -4.20%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.29%E -4.20%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 01:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.30%E -6.80%K -37.71%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.39%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.79%E -2.96%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.39%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.79%E -2.96%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-30 01:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 01:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-30 01:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.79%E -2.96%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 00:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.79%E -2.96%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-30 00:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 01:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.29%E -4.20%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-30 01:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.88%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.88%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.88%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 01:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.88%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-30 01:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.88%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.30%E -6.80%K -37.71%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-30 00:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -7.62%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -3.79%E -2.96%K -13.52%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-30 01:59 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.12%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-30 01:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.12%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.29%E -4.20%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.12%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.29%E -4.20%K -20.35%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-30 01:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -9.36%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -7.54%E -6.13%K -32.80%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.60%E -2.94%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 01:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.60%E -2.94%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.60%E -2.94%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-30 01:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.60%E -2.94%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.04%E -4.83%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -13.08%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 74.63%EV -10.55%E -8.87%K -55.53%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-05-30 01:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -20.53%E -6.42%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.91%EV -6.04%E -4.83%K -24.17%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-30 01:59 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81% | 0.5% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57% | 0.8% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 1.2% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07% | 1.5% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82% | 1.9% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56% | 2.2% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71% | 2.8% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48% | 7.4% | 2026-05-30 02:00 |