L’École des cotes

Portland Fire v Atlanta Dream

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-30 02:03 UTC

Score final : Portland Fire 66–86 Atlanta Dream

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

46 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Portland Fire (Local)

Prévision 24.83%4.03cote équitable
EV +4.30%
Avantage +1.02%
Kelly +1.34%
Croissance +0.058%

avec la cote maximale 4.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.79%24.90%24.83%28.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.803.804.2031.25%26.28%26.32%23.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Atlanta Dream (Visiteur)

Prévision 75.17%1.33cote équitable
EV -3.03%
Avantage -2.35%
Kelly -10.47%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.29

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.91%75.10%75.17%77.21%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.191.271.271.2984.03%79.01%78.74%77.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (46 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
theScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV +4.30%E +1.02%K +1.34%G +0.058%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -6.79%E -5.48%K -28.31%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 02:00
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV -0.667%E -0.167%K -0.222%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-30 00:49
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.667%E -0.167%K -0.222%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.30%E -6.80%K -37.71%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-30 02:00
Pinnacle3.95I 25.32%NM 24.33%EV -1.91%E -0.483%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.67%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 01:50
SportsBet3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -1.91%E -0.483%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -6.79%E -5.48%K -28.31%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-30 02:00
Caesars3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -3.79%E -2.96%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 02:00
Fanatics3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 01:49
Unibet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 01:40
Unibet (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 01:40
LeoVegas3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 01:40
Unibet (NL)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 01:40
LeoVegas (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 01:40
TABtouch3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 01:40
Svenska Spel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 01:40
ATG (SE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 01:40
betPARX3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 01:40
Bally Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 01:40
FanDuel3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.29%E -4.20%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 02:00
Betr (AU)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.29%E -4.20%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 01:49
Coolbet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.83%EV -3.15%E -0.808%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.17%EV -8.30%E -6.80%K -37.71%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-30 02:00
DraftKings3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.39%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.79%E -2.96%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 02:00
GTbets3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -4.39%E -1.14%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -3.79%E -2.96%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-30 01:49
LowVig.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 01:50
BetOnline.ag3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.47%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-30 01:49
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.79%E -2.96%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 00:49
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -3.79%E -2.96%K -13.52%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-30 00:49
Bet Right3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 02:00
ReBet3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 01:59
BetRivers3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-30 01:40
TAB3.80I 26.32%NM 24.90%EV -5.63%E -1.48%K -2.01%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 75.10%EV -5.29%E -4.20%K -20.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-30 01:29
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.88%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 02:00
BetUS3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -6.88%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-30 02:00
Unibet (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.88%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 01:59
Hard Rock Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -6.88%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.54%E -3.57%K -16.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-30 01:50
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -6.88%E -1.83%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -8.30%E -6.80%K -37.71%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-30 00:49
MyBookie.ag3.72I 26.88%NM 25.60%EV -7.62%E -2.05%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.40%EV -3.79%E -2.96%K -13.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-30 01:59
BetAnything3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -8.12%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-30 01:59
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.12%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.29%E -4.20%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 01:59
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -8.12%E -2.19%K -3.01%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.29%E -4.20%K -20.35%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-30 01:59
Fliff3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -9.36%E -2.56%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 74.80%EV -7.54%E -6.13%K -32.80%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-30 02:00
888sport3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.60%E -2.94%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 01:50
888sport (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.60%E -2.94%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 01:59
Mr Green (SE)3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -10.60%E -2.94%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.03%E -2.35%K -10.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-30 01:59
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -10.60%E -2.94%K -4.08%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.04%E -4.83%K -24.17%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-30 02:00
PMU (FR)3.50I 28.57%NM 25.37%EV -13.08%E -3.74%K -5.23%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 74.63%EV -10.55%E -8.87%K -55.53%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-30 01:40
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -20.53%E -6.42%K -9.33%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 71.91%EV -6.04%E -4.83%K -24.17%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-30 01:59
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (8)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.95I 25.32%NM 25.19%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.81%0.5%2026-05-30 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.90I 25.64%NM 25.43%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.57%0.8%2026-05-30 02:00
Polymarket3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%1.2%2026-05-30 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 25.93%1.33I 75.19%NM 74.07%1.5%2026-05-30 02:00
ProphetX3.75I 26.67%NM 26.18%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.82%1.9%2026-05-30 02:00
Kalshi3.70I 27.03%NM 26.44%1.33I 75.19%NM 73.56%2.2%2026-05-30 02:00
Matchbook3.70I 27.03%NM 26.29%1.32I 75.76%NM 73.71%2.8%2026-05-30 02:00
Novig3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.48%7.4%2026-05-30 02:00