Language:English
Phoenix Mercury v Toronto Tempo
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Prediction 74.71%1.34fair odd
EV -2.88%
Edge -2.22%
Kelly -9.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.37%74.71%74.66%76.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.241.281.271.3080.65%78.27%78.43%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Toronto Tempo (Visit)
Prediction 25.29%3.95fair odd
EV +1.93%
Edge +0.479%
Kelly +0.637%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 4.03
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.82%25.29%25.34%27.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.703.734.0330.30%27.03%26.85%24.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Phoenix Mercury (Local): 74.71%; Toronto Tempo (Visit): 25.29%. For Toronto Tempo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.03, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (48 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +1.93%E +0.479%K +0.637%G +0.012% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 01:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.99%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 24.01%EV +1.68%E +0.417%K +0.555%G +0.009% | 3.6% | 2026-08-30 01:50 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.17%E +0.293%K +0.391%G +0.005% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 01:48 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.17%E +0.293%K +0.391%G +0.005% | 3.7% | 2026-08-30 01:50 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +1.17%E +0.293%K +0.391%G +0.005% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 01:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.00%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 3.99I 25.06%NM 24.00%EV +0.919%E +0.230%K +0.307%G +0.003% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 01:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.37%E -3.42%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -1.36%E -0.348%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 01:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.36%E -0.348%K -0.468%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.29%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.71%EV -2.12%E -0.547%K -0.737%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-30 01:39 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.62%E -0.681%K -0.920%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 01:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.63%E -2.81%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 01:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.63%E -2.81%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 01:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.63%E -2.81%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.37%E -3.42%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-30 01:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 01:55 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 01:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.63%E -2.81%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-30 01:55 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-30 01:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 01:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 01:59 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-30 01:59 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.62%E -5.29%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.63%E -2.81%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.42%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-30 01:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.37%E -3.42%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.42%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-30 01:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.42%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 01:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.42%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-30 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.95%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 01:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.95%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-30 01:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.63%E -2.81%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.95%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 01:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.63%E -2.81%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.95%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 01:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.63%E -2.81%K -12.51%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.95%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-30 01:59 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.37%E -3.42%K -15.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.95%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-30 01:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.62%E -5.29%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.95%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-30 01:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.62%E -5.29%K -26.46%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-30 01:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -16.53%E -5.01%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -7.36%E -5.94%K -30.68%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -16.53%E -5.01%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.1% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68% | 1.2% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 2.1% | 2026-08-30 02:00 |