默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Phoenix Mercury v Toronto Tempo

开赛时间: 2026-08-30 02:03 UTC

最终结果: Phoenix Mercury 101–69 Toronto Tempo

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Phoenix Mercury (主队)

预测 74.71%1.34公平赔率
EV -2.88%
优势 -2.22%
Kelly -9.60%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.30

博彩公司预测分布
72.37%74.71%74.66%76.18%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.241.281.271.3080.65%78.27%78.43%76.92%最小值均值中位数最大值

Toronto Tempo (客队)

预测 25.29%3.95公平赔率
EV +1.93%
优势 +0.479%
Kelly +0.637%
增长率 +0.012%

假设最高赔率为 4.03

博彩公司预测分布
23.82%25.29%25.34%27.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.303.703.734.0330.30%27.03%26.85%24.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Phoenix Mercury (主队):74.71%;Toronto Tempo (客队):25.29%。 对于“Toronto Tempo (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.95。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为4.03,对应+1.93%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
LowVig.ag🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.18%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.82%EV +1.93%E +0.479%K +0.637%G +0.012%4.2%2026-08-30 01:45
Pinnacle🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.99%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 24.01%EV +1.68%E +0.417%K +0.555%G +0.009%3.6%2026-08-30 01:50
betano_uk🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.17%E +0.293%K +0.391%G +0.005%3.7%2026-08-30 01:48
Bet Victor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.90%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.10%EV +1.17%E +0.293%K +0.391%G +0.005%3.7%2026-08-30 01:50
BetAnything🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV +1.17%E +0.293%K +0.391%G +0.005%4.4%2026-08-30 01:45
1xBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 76.00%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.99I 25.06%NM 24.00%EV +0.919%E +0.230%K +0.307%G +0.003%4.4%2026-08-30 01:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.37%E -3.42%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -1.36%E -0.348%K -0.468%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 01:55
theScore Bet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.58%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -1.36%E -0.348%K -0.468%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-30 02:00
BetUS🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.29%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.71%EV -2.12%E -0.547%K -0.737%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-30 01:39
Caesars🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -2.62%E -0.681%K -0.920%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 01:50
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.63%E -2.81%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 01:40
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.63%E -2.81%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 01:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.63%E -2.81%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-30 02:00
Bovada🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.37%E -3.42%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-30 01:59
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 01:55
MyBookie.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 02:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 01:59
Bet Right🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -3.89%E -1.02%K -1.39%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-30 02:00
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.63%E -2.81%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-30 01:55
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.12%E -4.03%K -18.97%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-30 01:45
SportsBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 01:55
Coolbet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 01:59
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-30 01:59
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.62%E -5.29%K -26.46%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.15%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-30 02:00
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -3.63%E -2.81%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -6.42%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-30 01:50
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.37%E -3.42%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -6.42%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-30 01:55
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.42%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 01:59
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -6.42%E -1.73%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-30 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.95%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 01:40
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -8.95%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-30 01:40
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.63%E -2.81%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.95%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 01:55
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.63%E -2.81%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.95%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 01:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.63%E -2.81%K -12.51%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -8.95%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-30 01:59
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.37%E -3.42%K -15.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -8.95%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-30 01:34
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.62%E -5.29%K -26.46%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -8.95%E -2.48%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-30 01:55
Unibet (NL)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 02:00
BetRivers🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 02:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 02:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 02:00
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 02:00
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 02:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 02:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 02:00
betPARX🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 02:00
Bally Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -2.88%E -2.22%K -9.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-30 02:00
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.62%E -5.29%K -26.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -11.47%E -3.28%K -4.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-30 01:34
PMU (FR)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%EV -5.87%E -4.66%K -22.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -16.53%E -5.01%K -7.19%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-30 02:00
LeoVegas🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 72.69%EV -7.36%E -5.94%K -30.68%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -16.53%E -5.01%K -7.19%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-30 02:00
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-30 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-30 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-30 02:00
Matchbook◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-08-30 02:00
Kalshi◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-08-30 02:00
Polymarket◎1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-08-30 02:00
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-08-30 02:00
ProphetX◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%2.1%2026-08-30 02:00