La scuola delle quote

Phoenix Mercury v Las Vegas Aces

Inizio: 2026-06-18 02:11 UTC

Finale: Phoenix Mercury 76–86 Las Vegas Aces

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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43 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Casa)

Previsione 29.83%3.35quota equa
EV +4.41%
Vantaggio +1.26%
Kelly +1.76%
Crescita +0.078%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.22%29.74%29.82%31.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.903.173.153.5034.48%31.58%31.75%28.57%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Las Vegas Aces (Trasferta)

Previsione 70.17%1.43quota equa
EV -2.46%
Vantaggio -1.77%
Kelly -6.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.39

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
68.81%70.26%70.18%72.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.281.351.361.3978.13%73.87%73.53%71.94%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (43 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Caesars3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +4.41%E +1.26%K +1.76%G +0.078%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -8.08%E -6.17%K -26.06%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-18 02:10
Fliff3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV +2.92%E +0.845%K +1.19%G +0.035%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -9.48%E -7.35%K -32.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-18 02:10
BetUS3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +1.42%E +0.419%K +0.593%G +0.008%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.97%E -4.46%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 02:01
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +0.529%E +0.157%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -5.97%E -4.46%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 02:04
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +0.529%E +0.157%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -5.97%E -4.46%K -17.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 02:05
Bet Victor3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.56%E -0.472%K -0.678%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.87%E -2.82%K -10.45%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-18 02:02
Fanatics3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.05%E -0.939%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 02:09
DraftKings3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.05%E -0.939%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 02:10
theScore Bet3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.05%E -0.939%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-18 02:10
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.05%E -0.939%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.67%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 02:10
FanDuel3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 02:10
BetMGM3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-18 02:09
GTbets3.19I 31.35%NM 29.58%EV -4.84%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.42%EV -5.97%E -4.46%K -17.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-18 02:10
SportsBet3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -5.14%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -5.97%E -4.46%K -17.57%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-18 02:10
Bovada3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 02:09
BetAnything3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-18 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 02:10
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 02:10
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 02:10
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 02:10
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 02:10
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 02:10
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 02:10
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 02:10
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-18 02:10
Unibet (UK)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 02:10
Pinnacle3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -6.93%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -2.46%E -1.77%K -6.32%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-18 02:01
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 02:10
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 02:10
ReBet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-18 01:59
888sport3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 01:59
TAB3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 02:05
BetRivers3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 02:10
TABtouch3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 02:10
888sport (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 01:59
Mr Green (SE)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-18 01:59
MyBookie.ag3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 02:09
Hard Rock Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.67%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-18 02:09
Betsson3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.02%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 01:59
NordicBet3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.02%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-18 01:59
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-18 01:59
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.67%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000%8.5%2026-06-18 02:10
PMU (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 69.38%EV -10.18%E -7.96%K -36.37%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-18 02:10
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99%1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01%0.6%2026-06-18 02:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%0.8%2026-06-18 02:10
Polymarket3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28%0.9%2026-06-18 02:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28%1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72%1.0%2026-06-18 02:10
Kalshi3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%3.0%2026-06-18 02:10
Novig3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15%1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85%3.0%2026-06-18 02:10
ProphetX2.56I 39.06%NM 34.69%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.31%12.6%2026-06-18 02:10