La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Phoenix Mercury v Las Vegas Aces
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Predicción 29.83%3.35momio equitativo
EV +4.41%
Ventaja +1.26%
Kelly +1.76%
Crecimiento +0.078%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.22%29.74%29.82%31.19%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.173.153.5034.48%31.58%31.75%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Las Vegas Aces (Visitante)
Predicción 70.17%1.43momio equitativo
EV -2.46%
Ventaja -1.77%
Kelly -6.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.81%70.26%70.18%72.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.281.351.361.3978.13%73.87%73.53%71.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV +4.41%E +1.26%K +1.76%G +0.078% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -8.08%E -6.17%K -26.06%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| Fliff | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV +2.92%E +0.845%K +1.19%G +0.035% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 72.78%EV -9.48%E -7.35%K -32.69%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| BetUS | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV +1.42%E +0.419%K +0.593%G +0.008% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -5.97%E -4.46%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-18 02:01 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +0.529%E +0.157%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -5.97%E -4.46%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 02:04 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV +0.529%E +0.157%K +0.223%G +0.001% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -5.97%E -4.46%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 02:05 |
| Bet Victor | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.34%EV -1.56%E -0.472%K -0.678%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.66%EV -3.87%E -2.82%K -10.45%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-06-18 02:02 |
| Fanatics | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.05%E -0.939%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 02:09 |
| DraftKings | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.05%E -0.939%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| theScore Bet | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV -3.05%E -0.939%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| Betway | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -3.05%E -0.939%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -6.67%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| FanDuel | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| BetMGM | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -4.54%E -1.42%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-18 02:09 |
| GTbets | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.58%EV -4.84%E -1.52%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.42%EV -5.97%E -4.46%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| SportsBet | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.65%EV -5.14%E -1.62%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.35%EV -5.97%E -4.46%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| Bovada | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-18 02:09 |
| BetAnything | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.46%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.54%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| Unibet (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| LeoVegas | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| Unibet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| Unibet (NL) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| Bally Bet | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| betPARX | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| Svenska Spel | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| ATG (SE) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -6.03%E -1.92%K -2.81%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| Pinnacle | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.82%EV -6.93%E -2.22%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.18%EV -2.46%E -1.77%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-06-18 02:01 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| Neds | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| ReBet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -3.17%E -2.29%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| 888sport | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| TAB | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-18 02:05 |
| BetRivers | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| TABtouch | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| MyBookie.ag | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.34%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.66%EV -5.27%E -3.90%K -15.06%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-18 02:09 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -7.53%E -2.43%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -6.67%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-18 02:09 |
| Betsson | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.02%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| NordicBet | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -9.02%E -2.96%K -4.40%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| BoyleSports | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -4.57%E -3.36%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-18 01:59 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.72%EV -10.51%E -3.50%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -6.67%E -5.02%K -20.23%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| PMU (FR) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 30.62%EV -13.49%E -4.65%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 69.38%EV -10.18%E -7.96%K -36.37%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.99% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.01% | 0.6% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 0.8% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| Polymarket | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.72% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 71.28% | 0.9% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.28% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.72% | 1.0% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| Kalshi | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85% | 3.0% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| Novig | 3.33I 30.03%NM 29.15% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 70.85% | 3.0% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |
| ProphetX | 2.56I 39.06%NM 34.69% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 65.31% | 12.6% | 2026-06-18 02:10 |