La scuola delle quote

Phoenix Mercury v Chicago Sky

Inizio: 2026-05-16 02:10 UTC

Finale: Phoenix Mercury 91–83 Chicago Sky

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Casa)

Previsione 61.80%1.62quota equa
EV -1.73%
Vantaggio -1.09%
Kelly -2.94%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.59

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.25%61.94%61.73%64.44%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.411.531.531.5970.92%65.40%65.36%62.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Chicago Sky (Trasferta)

Previsione 38.20%2.62quota equa
EV +3.13%
Vantaggio +1.16%
Kelly +1.84%
Crescita +0.058%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.56%38.06%38.27%39.75%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.522.502.7042.02%39.75%40.00%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.13%E +1.16%K +1.84%G +0.058%4.2%2026-05-16 01:57
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.689%E -0.265%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 01:29
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.689%E -0.265%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 01:39
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.689%E -0.265%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 01:45
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -1.84%E -0.714%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 01:44
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 01:57
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 23:30
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 02:05
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.75%E -1.49%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 01:40
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -4.13%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 01:59
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 01:40
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 01:40
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 02:00
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 01:40
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 01:45
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 01:45
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 01:35
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.68%E -4.42%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 01:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 01:20
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -1.73%E -1.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -4.89%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-15 22:55
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -1.73%E -1.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -4.89%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-15 22:55
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -1.73%E -1.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -5.27%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-15 22:54
ReBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.65%E -2.29%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 01:58
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 02:00
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 02:00
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -6.80%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 02:05
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.28%EV -12.86%E -9.12%K -31.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.72%EV -7.18%E -2.96%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 01:45
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -7.56%E -3.13%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 01:59
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -7.56%E -3.13%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 01:50
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 01:50
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 01:30
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 02:00
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.53%E -5.76%K -17.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 02:04
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 18:00
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 18:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-16 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-16 02:05
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%1.6%2026-05-16 02:03
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-05-16 01:55
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%4.0%2026-05-16 02:05
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 62.33%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.67%15.4%2026-05-16 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-05-16 02:05