L’École des cotes

Phoenix Mercury v Chicago Sky

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-16 02:10 UTC

Score final : Phoenix Mercury 91–83 Chicago Sky

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

47 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Phoenix Mercury (Local)

Prévision 61.80%1.62cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -2.94%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
60.25%61.94%61.73%64.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.411.531.531.5970.92%65.40%65.36%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Chicago Sky (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.20%2.62cote équitable
EV +3.13%
Avantage +1.16%
Kelly +1.84%
Croissance +0.058%

avec la cote maximale 2.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.56%38.06%38.27%39.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.382.522.502.7042.02%39.75%40.00%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (47 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.13%E +1.16%K +1.84%G +0.058%4.2%2026-05-16 01:57
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
LeoVegas1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
Unibet (NL)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
Bally Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
Svenska Spel1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
betPARX1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001%4.7%2026-05-16 01:45
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.689%E -0.265%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-16 01:29
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.689%E -0.265%K -0.431%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-16 01:39
BetRivers1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.689%E -0.265%K -0.431%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-16 01:45
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -1.84%E -0.714%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-16 01:44
Bet Victor1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-16 01:57
theScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-15 23:30
MyBookie.ag1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 02:05
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.75%E -1.49%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 01:40
BetAnything1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -4.13%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.5%2026-05-16 01:59
DraftKings1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 01:40
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-16 01:40
Unibet (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 02:00
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-16 01:40
Bet Right1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 01:45
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 01:45
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-16 01:35
SportsBet1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.68%E -4.42%K -13.09%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 01:40
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-16 01:20
BetOnline.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -1.73%E -1.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -4.89%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-15 22:55
LowVig.ag1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -1.73%E -1.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -4.89%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-15 22:55
BetUS1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -1.73%E -1.09%K -2.94%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -5.27%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-15 22:54
ReBet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.65%E -2.29%K -3.85%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-16 01:58
Hard Rock Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 02:00
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-16 02:00
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -6.80%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-16 02:05
PMU (FR)1.41I 70.92%NM 63.28%EV -12.86%E -9.12%K -31.36%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 36.72%EV -7.18%E -2.96%K -5.02%G +0.000%12.1%2026-05-16 01:45
Betsson1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -7.56%E -3.13%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 01:59
NordicBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -7.56%E -3.13%K -5.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-16 01:59
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 01:50
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-16 01:50
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-16 01:30
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-16 02:00
Fliff1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.53%E -5.76%K -17.77%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-16 02:04
888sport1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 18:00
Mr Green (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 18:00
888sport (SE)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-15 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-16 02:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94%1.0%2026-05-16 02:05
ProphetX1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29%1.6%2026-05-16 02:03
Kalshi1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77%2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23%2.1%2026-05-16 01:55
Polymarket1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44%2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56%4.0%2026-05-16 02:05
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 62.33%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.67%15.4%2026-05-16 02:05
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00%98.0%2026-05-16 02:05