La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Phoenix Mercury v Chicago Sky
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Predicción 61.80%1.62momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -1.09%
Kelly -2.94%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.59
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
60.25%61.94%61.73%64.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.411.531.531.5970.92%65.40%65.36%62.89%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Chicago Sky (Visitante)
Predicción 38.20%2.62momio equitativo
EV +3.13%
Ventaja +1.16%
Kelly +1.84%
Crecimiento +0.058%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.70
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.56%38.06%38.27%39.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.382.522.502.7042.02%39.75%40.00%37.04%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caesars | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV +3.13%E +1.16%K +1.84%G +0.058% | 4.2% | 2026-05-16 01:57 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| LeoVegas | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Unibet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| betPARX | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV +0.457%E +0.174%K +0.280%G +0.001% | 4.7% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -0.689%E -0.265%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-16 01:29 |
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -0.689%E -0.265%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-16 01:39 |
| BetRivers | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.689%E -0.265%K -0.431%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| 1xBet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.68%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 37.32%EV -1.84%E -0.714%K -1.17%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-16 01:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-16 01:57 |
| theScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-15 23:30 |
| MyBookie.ag | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.60%E -1.02%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 02:05 |
| FanDuel | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -3.75%E -1.49%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 01:40 |
| BetAnything | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.52%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.48%EV -4.13%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-05-16 01:59 |
| DraftKings | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 01:40 |
| Fanatics | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.59%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-16 01:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 02:00 |
| BetMGM | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-16 01:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.06%E -3.99%K -11.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-16 01:35 |
| SportsBet | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.68%E -4.42%K -13.09%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 01:40 |
| Paddy Power | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.51%E -1.80%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-16 01:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -1.73%E -1.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -4.89%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -1.73%E -1.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV -4.89%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-15 22:55 |
| BetUS | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.93%EV -1.73%E -1.09%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 39.07%EV -5.27%E -2.13%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-15 22:54 |
| ReBet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.65%E -2.29%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-16 01:58 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 02:00 |
| Betway | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.42%E -2.62%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-16 02:00 |
| GTbets | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.31%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.69%EV -6.80%E -2.79%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-16 02:05 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.41I 70.92%NM 63.28%EV -12.86%E -9.12%K -31.36%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 36.72%EV -7.18%E -2.96%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 12.1% | 2026-05-16 01:45 |
| Betsson | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -7.56%E -3.13%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 01:59 |
| NordicBet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -7.56%E -3.13%K -5.33%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-16 01:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 01:50 |
| Neds | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-16 01:50 |
| BoyleSports | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.56%K -10.27%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-16 01:30 |
| Coolbet | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-16 02:00 |
| Fliff | 1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -8.53%E -5.76%K -17.77%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.33%E -3.47%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-16 02:04 |
| 888sport | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-15 18:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-15 18:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.97%E -1.89%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.09%E -3.82%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-15 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.06% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.94% | 1.0% | 2026-05-16 02:05 |
| ProphetX | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.71% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.29% | 1.6% | 2026-05-16 02:03 |
| Kalshi | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.77% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 37.23% | 2.1% | 2026-05-16 01:55 |
| Polymarket | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.44% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 37.56% | 4.0% | 2026-05-16 02:05 |
| Novig | 1.39I 71.94%NM 62.33% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.67% | 15.4% | 2026-05-16 02:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 50.00% | 98.0% | 2026-05-16 02:05 |