Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Phoenix Mercury v Atlanta Dream

Início: 2026-08-23 02:03 UTC

Final: Phoenix Mercury 89–99 Atlanta Dream

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Phoenix Mercury (Local)

Previsão 25.08%3.99odd justa
EV +2.84%
Vantagem +0.693%
Kelly +0.917%
Crescimento +0.026%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.65%24.88%25.22%27.04%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.403.773.754.1029.41%26.55%26.67%24.39%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Atlanta Dream (Visitante)

Previsão 74.92%1.33odd justa
EV -2.61%
Vantagem -2.01%
Kelly -8.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.30

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.96%75.12%74.78%76.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.221.271.281.3081.97%78.63%78.13%76.92%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Phoenix Mercury (Local): 25.08%; Atlanta Dream (Visitante): 74.92%. Para Phoenix Mercury (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.99. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 4.10, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.84%.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
betano_uk🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +2.84%E +0.693%K +0.917%G +0.026%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.86%E -3.82%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 01:50
Bet Victor🎯4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +2.84%E +0.693%K +0.917%G +0.026%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.86%E -3.82%K -17.98%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-23 01:49
Pinnacle🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV +1.59%E +0.392%K +0.521%G +0.008%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 01:50
888sport🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.333%E +0.083%K +0.111%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.35%E -5.08%K -25.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 01:59
theScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.333%E +0.083%K +0.111%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.35%E -5.08%K -25.42%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-23 02:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -0.670%E -0.169%K -0.226%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.86%E -3.82%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 01:54
BetOnline.ag🎯3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -0.670%E -0.169%K -0.226%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.86%E -3.82%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 01:55
BetAnything🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -2.17%E -0.558%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 01:44
BetUS🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.17%E -0.558%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.86%E -3.82%K -17.98%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:54
Fliff🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -2.17%E -0.558%K -0.750%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.10%E -5.73%K -29.60%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 01:59
DraftKings🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.43%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 00:44
GTbets🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.43%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-23 01:49
Unibet (UK)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.68%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.36%E -2.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 01:58
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.68%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.36%E -2.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-23 00:19
Bovada🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.68%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.68%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.82%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 01:49
Bet Right🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.68%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.82%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-23 01:49
Caesars🎯3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -5.18%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 00:28
Fanatics🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.36%E -2.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 00:44
ReBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 01:34
Unibet (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 01:59
ATG (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 01:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 01:59
betPARX🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 01:59
Bally Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 01:59
Svenska Spel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 01:59
MyBookie.ag🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-23 01:38
TABtouch🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.86%E -3.82%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 01:59
BetRivers🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.86%E -3.82%K -17.98%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-23 01:59
SportsBet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 01:15
Coolbet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.56%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 01:54
Betway🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.35%E -5.08%K -25.42%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 02:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.10%E -5.73%K -29.60%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-23 02:00
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 00:59
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 00:59
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.56%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 00:59
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.45%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.36%E -2.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 02:00
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.45%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.36%E -2.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-23 02:00
Neds🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -9.70%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.61%E -2.01%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 00:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -9.70%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.61%E -2.01%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 00:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.70%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.36%E -2.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 00:45
888sport (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.70%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.36%E -2.60%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 00:44
TAB🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.70%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-23 00:19
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.70%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.35%E -5.08%K -25.42%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-23 01:34
PMU (FR)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -10.95%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.60%E -7.05%K -39.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-23 01:59
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.35%E -5.08%K -25.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-23 00:25
LeoVegas🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -14.72%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.56%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 01:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-08-23 02:00
Kalshi◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-08-23 00:30
Matchbook◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-08-23 01:55
ProphetX◎3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%1.1%2026-08-23 02:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-08-23 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-08-23 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%1.3%2026-08-23 02:00
Novig◎4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%1.9%2026-08-23 02:00