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Phoenix Mercury v Atlanta Dream
Resultado del partido
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Predicción 35.51%2.82momio equitativo
EV -2.34%
Ventaja -0.850%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.21%35.44%35.54%36.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.502.662.652.7540.00%37.54%37.74%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlanta Dream (Visitante)
Predicción 64.49%1.55momio equitativo
EV -3.27%
Ventaja -2.18%
Kelly -6.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
63.29%64.56%64.46%65.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.431.471.481.5069.93%67.92%67.80%66.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Phoenix Mercury (Local): 35.51%; Atlanta Dream (Visitante): 64.49%. Para Phoenix Mercury (Local), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.82. Ningún corredor elegible ofrece momios superiores a ese nivel: los mejores momios disponibles son 2.75, con un valor esperado de -2.34%; no producen valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (34 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.34%E -0.850%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.56%E -3.08%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-21 04:04 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.34%E -0.850%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.14%E -4.96%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 04:05 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.34%E -0.850%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.14%E -4.96%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 04:05 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.34%E -0.850%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.14%E -4.96%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-21 04:05 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.34%E -0.850%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 05:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 35.08%EV -3.40%E -1.25%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.92%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-21 03:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 34.70%EV -3.76%E -1.39%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.30%EV -7.14%E -4.96%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-21 05:49 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.27%E -2.18%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 04:20 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.27%E -2.18%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-08-21 05:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.91%E -2.63%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 04:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.91%E -2.63%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 04:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.56%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.44%EV -3.91%E -2.63%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-21 05:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.56%E -3.08%K -9.50%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-21 04:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 03:45 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 05:54 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.11%E -1.52%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-21 04:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.89%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.85%E -4.01%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-21 04:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -5.89%E -2.22%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.85%E -4.01%K -12.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-21 04:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.60%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.27%E -2.18%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 04:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.60%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.27%E -2.18%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 04:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.60%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.27%E -2.18%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 04:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.60%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.27%E -2.18%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 04:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.60%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.27%E -2.18%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 04:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.60%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.27%E -2.18%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 04:37 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.60%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.27%E -2.18%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 04:39 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -6.60%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -3.27%E -2.18%K -6.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-21 04:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.60%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.91%E -2.63%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 04:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 36.17%EV -6.60%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.83%EV -3.91%E -2.63%K -7.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-21 04:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.85%EV -6.60%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.15%EV -5.20%E -3.54%K -11.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-21 05:54 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -6.60%E -2.51%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-21 04:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.95%E -2.65%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.14%E -4.96%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 03:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.95%E -2.65%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.14%E -4.96%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-21 04:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.71%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.29%EV -6.49%E -4.48%K -14.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 04:20 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.39%EV -11.22%E -4.49%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 63.61%EV -7.78%E -5.44%K -18.10%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-21 04:35 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.67% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.33% | 1.0% | 2026-08-21 06:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.1% | 2026-08-21 06:05 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.48% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.52% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 08:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.66I 37.59%NM 34.48% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.52% | 9.0% | 2026-08-21 08:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10% | 11.4% | 2026-08-21 08:00 |
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