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Phoenix Mercury v Atlanta Dream
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Phoenix Mercury (Local)
Predicción 25.08%3.99momio equitativo
EV +2.84%
Ventaja +0.693%
Kelly +0.917%
Crecimiento +0.026%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.65%24.88%25.22%27.04%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.773.754.1029.41%26.55%26.67%24.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Atlanta Dream (Visitante)
Predicción 74.92%1.33momio equitativo
EV -2.61%
Ventaja -2.01%
Kelly -8.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.30
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
72.96%75.12%74.78%76.35%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.221.271.281.3081.97%78.63%78.13%76.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Phoenix Mercury (Local): 25.08%; Atlanta Dream (Visitante): 74.92%. Para Phoenix Mercury (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.99. 5 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 4.10, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.84%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| betano_uk🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +2.84%E +0.693%K +0.917%G +0.026% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.86%E -3.82%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-23 01:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +2.84%E +0.693%K +0.917%G +0.026% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.86%E -3.82%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-23 01:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.73%EV +1.59%E +0.392%K +0.521%G +0.008% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.27%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-23 01:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.333%E +0.083%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.35%E -5.08%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.333%E +0.083%K +0.111%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.35%E -5.08%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-23 02:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -0.670%E -0.169%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.86%E -3.82%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 01:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.96I 25.25%NM 24.28%EV -0.670%E -0.169%K -0.226%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.72%EV -4.86%E -3.82%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-23 01:55 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV -2.17%E -0.558%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-23 01:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.56%EV -2.17%E -0.558%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.44%EV -4.86%E -3.82%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 01:54 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.12%EV -2.17%E -0.558%K -0.750%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.88%EV -7.10%E -5.73%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.43%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-23 00:44 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.43%E -0.891%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-23 01:49 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.68%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.36%E -2.60%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-23 01:58 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.68%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.36%E -2.60%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -4.68%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.68%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.82%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 01:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.68%E -1.23%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.86%E -3.82%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-23 01:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.78I 26.46%NM 25.30%EV -5.18%E -1.37%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.70%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-23 00:28 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.36%E -2.60%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-23 00:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 01:34 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-23 01:38 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.86%E -3.82%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.86%E -3.82%K -17.98%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 01:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-23 01:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.35%E -5.08%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-23 02:00 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -5.94%E -1.58%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.15%EV -7.10%E -5.73%K -29.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 02:00 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-23 00:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 00:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.19%E -1.94%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-23 00:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.45%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.36%E -2.60%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 02:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.45%E -2.31%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.36%E -2.60%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-23 02:00 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -9.70%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.61%E -2.01%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -9.70%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -2.61%E -2.01%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-23 00:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.70%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.36%E -2.60%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 00:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -9.70%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -3.36%E -2.60%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-23 00:44 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.70%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.11%E -3.21%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-23 00:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.70%E -2.69%K -3.73%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.35%E -5.08%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-23 01:34 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -10.95%E -3.09%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -8.60%E -7.05%K -39.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-23 01:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.21%E -3.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.35%E -5.08%K -25.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-23 00:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -14.72%E -4.33%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.96%EV -5.61%E -4.45%K -21.56%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-23 01:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (8)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 02:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 00:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-23 01:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 1.1% | 2026-08-23 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 1.3% | 2026-08-23 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 1.3% | 2026-08-23 02:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 1.3% | 2026-08-23 02:00 |
| Novig◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-08-23 02:00 |