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New York Liberty v Washington Mystics
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Liberty (Local)
Prediction 85.12%1.17fair odd
EV -2.11%
Edge -1.84%
Kelly -14.09%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.49%85.19%85.30%88.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.081.121.121.1592.59%88.89%89.29%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Washington Mystics (Visit)
Prediction 14.88%6.72fair odd
EV +19.06%
Edge +2.38%
Kelly +2.72%
Growth +0.519%
assuming max odds 8.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%14.81%14.70%18.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.806.166.208.0020.83%16.25%16.13%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Liberty (Local): 85.12%; Washington Mystics (Visit): 14.88%. For Washington Mystics (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.72. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +19.06%.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.07%E -7.47%K -100.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +19.06%E +2.38%K +2.72%G +0.519% | 5.1% | 2026-06-19 23:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +4.17%E +0.596%K +0.696%G +0.029% | 3.6% | 2026-06-19 23:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.37%E -5.79%K -63.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.17%E +0.596%K +0.696%G +0.029% | 5.2% | 2026-06-19 23:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.37%E -5.79%K -63.70%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.17%E +0.596%K +0.696%G +0.029% | 5.2% | 2026-06-19 23:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +0.453%E +0.067%K +0.079%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-19 14:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -0.291%E -0.043%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-19 21:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -1.63%E -0.247%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-19 21:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -1.63%E -0.247%K -0.291%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-19 21:00 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 85.34%EV -3.82%E -3.38%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 6.58I 15.20%NM 14.66%EV -2.08%E -0.316%K -0.372%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-19 23:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.27%E -0.503%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 20:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.27%E -0.503%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 23:09 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.27%E -0.503%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 20:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.27%E -0.503%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 21:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.27%E -0.503%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-19 23:28 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.27%E -0.503%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 23:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.17%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.27%E -0.503%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 12:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.37%E -5.79%K -63.70%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.27%E -0.503%K -0.594%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-19 23:29 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.76%E -0.743%K -0.881%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-19 23:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.82%E -3.38%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.99%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-06-19 22:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.99%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 23:20 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.99%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-19 22:49 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.73%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-19 22:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.73%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-19 23:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.82%E -3.38%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-19 22:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.82%E -3.38%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-19 22:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-19 22:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-19 20:59 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-19 21:09 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.17%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-19 21:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.82%E -3.38%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-19 20:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.82%E -3.38%K -29.36%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 20:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -16.66%E -2.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 23:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -16.66%E -2.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 23:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -16.66%E -2.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 23:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -16.66%E -2.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 23:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -16.66%E -2.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 23:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -16.66%E -2.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 23:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -16.66%E -2.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 23:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -16.66%E -2.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 23:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -16.66%E -2.98%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-19 23:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.15%E -3.30%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-19 20:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -19.64%E -3.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 21:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -19.64%E -3.64%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-19 21:10 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 81.49%EV -7.22%E -6.63%K -80.24%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -28.57%E -5.95%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-06-19 23:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-06-19 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22% | 0.5% | 2026-06-19 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-06-19 23:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 0.8% | 2026-06-19 23:30 |
| Polymarket◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87% | 1.0% | 2026-06-19 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11% | 1.2% | 2026-06-19 23:30 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23% | 7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77% | 1.7% | 2026-06-19 23:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.14I 87.72%NM 85.40% | 6.67I 14.99%NM 14.60% | 2.7% | 2026-06-19 23:30 |