Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Liberty v Washington Mystics

Início: 2026-06-19 23:40 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 83–86 Washington Mystics

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Liberty (Local)

Previsão 85.12%1.17odd justa
EV -2.11%
Vantagem -1.84%
Kelly -14.09%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
81.49%85.19%85.30%88.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.081.121.121.1592.59%88.89%89.29%86.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Washington Mystics (Visitante)

Previsão 14.88%6.72odd justa
EV +19.06%
Vantagem +2.38%
Kelly +2.72%
Crescimento +0.519%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.89%14.81%14.70%18.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.806.166.208.0020.83%16.25%16.13%12.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Liberty (Local): 85.12%; Washington Mystics (Visitante): 14.88%. Para Washington Mystics (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.72. 5 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +19.06%.

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
theScore Bet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -8.07%E -7.47%K -100.91%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +19.06%E +2.38%K +2.72%G +0.519%5.1%2026-06-19 23:29
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.21%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.79%EV +4.17%E +0.596%K +0.696%G +0.029%3.6%2026-06-19 23:19
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.37%E -5.79%K -63.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.17%E +0.596%K +0.696%G +0.029%5.2%2026-06-19 23:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.37%E -5.79%K -63.70%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +4.17%E +0.596%K +0.696%G +0.029%5.2%2026-06-19 23:29
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV +0.453%E +0.067%K +0.079%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-19 14:00
BetUS🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.68%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.32%EV -0.291%E -0.043%K -0.051%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-19 21:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -1.63%E -0.247%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 21:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.51%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000%6.61I 15.13%NM 14.49%EV -1.63%E -0.247%K -0.291%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-19 21:00
Pinnacle🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.34%EV -3.82%E -3.38%K -29.36%G +0.000%6.58I 15.20%NM 14.66%EV -2.08%E -0.316%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-19 23:29
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.27%E -0.503%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 20:59
Fanatics🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.27%E -0.503%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 23:09
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.27%E -0.503%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 20:59
Caesars🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.27%E -0.503%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 21:08
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -3.27%E -0.503%K -0.594%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-19 23:28
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.27%E -0.503%K -0.594%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 23:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -3.27%E -0.503%K -0.594%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 12:10
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.37%E -5.79%K -63.70%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -3.27%E -0.503%K -0.594%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-19 23:29
MyBookie.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -4.76%E -0.743%K -0.881%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-19 23:00
BetMGM🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.69%EV -3.82%E -3.38%K -29.36%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.31%EV -6.99%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-19 22:40
Bet Right🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.99%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 23:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -6.99%E -1.12%K -1.33%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-19 22:49
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.73%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 22:50
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.70%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.30%EV -7.73%E -1.25%K -1.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-19 23:30
Neds🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.82%E -3.38%K -29.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 22:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -3.82%E -3.38%K -29.36%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-19 22:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 22:49
Coolbet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-19 20:59
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 21:09
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.52%E -4.97%K -50.17%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -10.71%E -1.78%K -2.14%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-19 21:09
TAB🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.69%EV -3.82%E -3.38%K -29.36%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.31%EV -13.68%E -2.36%K -2.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-19 20:59
SportsBet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -3.82%E -3.38%K -29.36%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV -14.43%E -2.51%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 20:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -16.66%E -2.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 23:20
Unibet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -16.66%E -2.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 23:19
LeoVegas🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -16.66%E -2.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 23:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -16.66%E -2.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 23:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -16.66%E -2.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 23:19
Bally Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -16.66%E -2.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 23:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -16.66%E -2.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 23:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -16.66%E -2.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 23:19
betPARX🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.96%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.04%EV -16.66%E -2.98%K -3.62%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-19 23:20
Paddy Power🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.67%E -4.17%K -38.90%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -18.15%E -3.30%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-19 20:59
BetRivers🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -19.64%E -3.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 21:09
TABtouch🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -2.11%E -1.84%K -14.09%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -19.64%E -3.64%K -4.46%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-19 21:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 81.49%EV -7.22%E -6.63%K -80.24%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.51%EV -28.57%E -5.95%K -7.52%G +0.000%12.6%2026-06-19 23:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-06-19 23:00
ProphetX1.16I 86.21%NM 85.78%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.22%0.5%2026-06-19 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-19 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-06-19 23:30
Polymarket1.15I 86.96%NM 86.13%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.87%1.0%2026-06-19 23:00
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 85.89%7.00I 14.29%NM 14.11%1.2%2026-06-19 23:30
Kalshi1.14I 87.72%NM 86.23%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.77%1.7%2026-06-19 23:30
Novig1.14I 87.72%NM 85.40%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.60%2.7%2026-06-19 23:30