Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Liberty v Toronto Tempo

Kickoff: 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 97–82 Toronto Tempo

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

43 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

New York Liberty (Local)

Prediction 74.88%1.34fair odd
EV -1.16%
Edge -0.882%
Kelly -3.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
72.33%74.93%75.00%76.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.271.281.3281.97%78.50%78.13%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Toronto Tempo (Visit)

Prediction 25.12%3.98fair odd
EV +3.01%
Edge +0.734%
Kelly +0.971%
Growth +0.029%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%25.07%25.00%27.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.733.754.1030.30%26.80%26.67%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Liberty (Local): 74.88%; Toronto Tempo (Visit): 25.12%. For Toronto Tempo (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.98. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.01%.

Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Bet Victor🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.91%E -3.86%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +3.01%E +0.734%K +0.971%G +0.029%3.1%2026-06-03 23:20
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.41%E -5.12%K -25.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.499%E +0.125%K +0.166%G +0.001%5.0%2026-06-03 23:30
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.65%E -7.09%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.499%E +0.125%K +0.166%G +0.001%7.0%2026-06-03 23:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.65%E -7.09%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.499%E +0.125%K +0.166%G +0.001%7.0%2026-06-03 23:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.65%E -7.09%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.499%E +0.125%K +0.166%G +0.001%7.0%2026-06-03 23:20
Pinnacle🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.43%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.57%EV -1.26%E -0.321%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-03 23:30
DraftKings🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.27%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 15:30
Caesars🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.91%E -3.86%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.27%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 23:19
Bovada🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.91%E -3.86%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.27%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:50
SportsBet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.41%E -5.12%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.27%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 23:30
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 23:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 23:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 23:20
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 23:19
ReBet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.91%E -3.86%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 23:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.91%E -3.86%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 23:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.41%E -5.12%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-03 23:30
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 23:30
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 21:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.91%E -3.86%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 22:50
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.66%E -4.49%K -21.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 22:20
Betway🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.41%E -5.12%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-03 23:30
FanDuel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:50
NordicBet🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.66%E -4.49%K -21.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 21:00
Betsson🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.66%E -4.49%K -21.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 21:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:10
LeoVegas🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:09
Unibet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:09
Unibet (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:10
TABtouch🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:10
Svenska Spel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:10
ATG (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:09
Bally Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:09
betPARX🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:10
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -1.91%E -1.46%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 15:28
TAB🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:10
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.41%E -5.12%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-03 21:00
BetRivers🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -10.81%E -3.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-03 23:10
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.41%E -5.12%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-03 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -1.16%E -0.882%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 15:30
Neds🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -1.16%E -0.882%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 15:29
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.01%EV -8.65%E -7.09%K -39.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -17.09%E -5.18%K -7.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-03 23:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-06-03 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-06-03 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-06-03 23:30
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-06-03 23:30
Polymarket1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-06-03 23:30
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 74.81%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.19%1.3%2026-06-03 23:30
ProphetX1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%2.1%2026-06-03 23:30