A Escola das Odds

New York Liberty v Toronto Tempo

Início: 2026-06-04 00:00 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 97–82 Toronto Tempo

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

New York Liberty (Local)

Previsão 74.88%1.34odd justa
EV -1.16%
Vantagem -0.882%
Kelly -3.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.32

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
72.33%74.93%75.00%76.63%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.221.271.281.3281.97%78.50%78.13%75.76%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Toronto Tempo (Visitante)

Previsão 25.12%3.98odd justa
EV +3.01%
Vantagem +0.734%
Kelly +0.971%
Crescimento +0.029%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.37%25.07%25.00%27.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.303.733.754.1030.30%26.80%26.67%24.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Bet Victor1.27I 78.74%NM 76.35%EV -4.91%E -3.86%K -18.18%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV +3.01%E +0.734%K +0.971%G +0.029%3.1%2026-06-03 23:20
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -6.41%E -5.12%K -25.62%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +0.499%E +0.125%K +0.166%G +0.001%5.0%2026-06-03 23:30
888sport1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.65%E -7.09%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.499%E +0.125%K +0.166%G +0.001%7.0%2026-06-03 23:19
Mr Green (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.65%E -7.09%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.499%E +0.125%K +0.166%G +0.001%7.0%2026-06-03 23:20
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.65%E -7.09%K -39.33%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +0.499%E +0.125%K +0.166%G +0.001%7.0%2026-06-03 23:20
Pinnacle1.28I 78.13%NM 75.43%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.93I 25.45%NM 24.57%EV -1.26%E -0.321%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.6%2026-06-03 23:30
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV -3.27%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 15:30
Caesars1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.91%E -3.86%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.27%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 23:19
Bovada1.27I 78.74%NM 75.20%EV -4.91%E -3.86%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.80%EV -3.27%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 19:50
SportsBet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -6.41%E -5.12%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -3.27%E -0.849%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 23:30
GTbets1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 23:20
LowVig.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 23:20
BetOnline.ag1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 23:20
BetAnything1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-03 23:19
ReBet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.91%E -3.86%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 23:20
MyBookie.ag1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -4.91%E -3.86%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-03 23:19
Unibet (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -6.41%E -5.12%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -4.53%E -1.19%K -1.62%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-03 23:30
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 23:30
BetUS1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-03 21:00
Hard Rock Bet1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -4.91%E -3.86%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-03 22:50
Fliff1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.66%E -4.49%K -21.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-03 22:20
Betway1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -6.41%E -5.12%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -5.78%E -1.54%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-03 23:30
FanDuel1.28I 78.13%NM 74.30%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.70%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-03 22:50
NordicBet1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.66%E -4.49%K -21.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 21:00
Betsson1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -5.66%E -4.49%K -21.76%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -7.04%E -1.90%K -2.61%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-03 21:00
Unibet (NL)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:10
LeoVegas1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:09
Unibet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:09
LeoVegas (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:09
Unibet (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:10
TABtouch1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:10
Svenska Spel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:10
ATG (SE)1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:09
Bally Bet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:09
betPARX1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -8.30%E -2.27%K -3.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-03 23:10
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -1.91%E -1.46%K -6.17%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-03 15:28
TAB1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -4.16%E -3.25%K -14.86%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-03 16:10
BoyleSports1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -6.41%E -5.12%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -9.55%E -2.65%K -3.67%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-03 21:00
BetRivers1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -3.41%E -2.64%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -10.81%E -3.04%K -4.24%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-03 23:10
Paddy Power1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -6.41%E -5.12%K -25.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -12.06%E -3.45%K -4.83%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-03 22:49
Ladbrokes (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -1.16%E -0.882%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 15:30
Neds1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -1.16%E -0.882%K -3.64%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -13.32%E -3.86%K -5.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-03 15:29
PMU (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.01%EV -8.65%E -7.09%K -39.33%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.99%EV -17.09%E -5.18%K -7.43%G +0.000%12.3%2026-06-03 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-06-03 23:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-06-03 23:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-06-03 23:30
Kalshi1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-06-03 23:30
Polymarket1.33I 75.19%NM 74.32%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%1.2%2026-06-03 23:30
Novig1.32I 75.76%NM 74.81%3.92I 25.51%NM 25.19%1.3%2026-06-03 23:30
ProphetX1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78%2.1%2026-06-03 23:30