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New York Liberty v Seattle Storm
Head to Head
New York Liberty (Local)
Prediction 76.57%1.31fair odd
EV -3.52%
Edge -2.79%
Kelly -13.53%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.26
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.11%76.65%76.48%83.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.241.241.2687.72%80.91%80.65%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Storm (Visit)
Prediction 23.43%4.27fair odd
EV +39.38%
Edge +6.62%
Kelly +7.96%
Growth +3.13%
assuming max odds 5.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.08%23.35%23.52%25.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.554.124.005.9528.17%24.28%25.00%16.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: New York Liberty (Local): 76.57%; Seattle Storm (Visit): 23.43%. For Seattle Storm (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.27. 3 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 5.95, producing a positive expected value of +39.38%.
Sportsbook Odds (25 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.92%EV -12.71%E -11.15%K -90.75%G +0.000% | 5.95I 16.81%NM 16.08%EV +39.38%E +6.62%K +7.96%G +3.13% | 4.5% | 2026-08-01 23:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.20I 83.33%NM 78.57%EV -8.11%E -6.76%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.43%EV +3.07%E +0.699%K +0.904%G +0.028% | 6.1% | 2026-08-01 23:12 |
| FanDuel | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -6.58%E -5.39%K -29.91%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV +0.732%E +0.170%K +0.222%G +0.002% | 5.2% | 2026-08-01 23:15 |
| BetMGM | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -5.05%E -4.07%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -0.439%E -0.103%K -0.135%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-02 01:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.05%E -4.07%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.61%E -0.384%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-02 00:00 |
| Caesars | 1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -5.05%E -4.07%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -1.61%E -0.384%K -0.503%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-02 00:57 |
| Fanatics | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.28%E -3.43%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.95%E -0.964%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 00:04 |
| GTbets | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.64%EV -4.28%E -3.43%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.36%EV -3.95%E -0.964%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 00:59 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.05%E -4.07%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.95%E -0.964%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 00:05 |
| Bet Right | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.05%E -4.07%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -3.95%E -0.964%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 00:04 |
| DraftKings | 1.26I 79.37%NM 76.05%EV -3.52%E -2.79%K -13.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.95%EV -6.30%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-02 00:00 |
| 888sport | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.43%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.30%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 00:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.43%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.30%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 23:59 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.43%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.30%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 00:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.43%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.30%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 23:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.43%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.30%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-01 23:59 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.43%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.30%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 00:54 |
| Neds | 1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -4.28%E -3.43%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -6.30%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 00:55 |
| Coolbet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.48%EV -5.81%E -4.73%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -6.30%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-02 00:04 |
| Paddy Power | 1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -8.11%E -6.76%K -40.56%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -6.30%E -1.57%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-01 23:13 |
| Betsson | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.05%E -4.07%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.47%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 00:04 |
| NordicBet | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.11%EV -5.05%E -4.07%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -7.47%E -1.89%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-02 00:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -4.28%E -3.43%K -17.13%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 00:04 |
| ReBet | 1.23I 81.30%NM 76.02%EV -5.81%E -4.73%K -25.28%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -8.64%E -2.22%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-01 23:59 |
| LeoVegas | 1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -5.05%E -4.07%K -21.03%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -16.84%E -4.74%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-02 00:04 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (2)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82% | 0.7% | 2026-08-02 00:05 |
| Polymarket | 1.25I 80.00%NM 78.45% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-08-02 00:19 |
Arbitrage (22 combinations) +3.98%DraftKings 1.26 (82.5%) / 1xBet 5.95 (17.5%)Show all 22 combinations
| New York Liberty (Local) | Seattle Storm (Visit) | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| DraftKings 1.26 (82.5%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.5%) | +3.98% |
| Fanatics 1.25 (82.6%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.4%) | +3.30% |
| GTbets 1.25 (82.6%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.4%) | +3.30% |
| 888sport 1.25 (82.6%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.4%) | +3.30% |
| Unibet (UK) 1.25 (82.6%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.4%) | +3.30% |
| 888sport (SE) 1.25 (82.6%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.4%) | +3.30% |
| Mr Green (SE) 1.25 (82.6%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.4%) | +3.30% |
| Hard Rock Bet 1.25 (82.6%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.4%) | +3.30% |
| Ladbrokes (AU) 1.25 (82.6%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.4%) | +3.30% |
| Neds 1.25 (82.6%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.4%) | +3.30% |
| BoyleSports 1.25 (82.6%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.4%) | +3.30% |
| BetMGM 1.24 (82.8%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.2%) | +2.61% |
| theScore Bet 1.24 (82.8%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.2%) | +2.61% |
| Caesars 1.24 (82.8%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.2%) | +2.61% |
| Betr (AU) 1.24 (82.8%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.2%) | +2.61% |
| Bet Right 1.24 (82.8%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.2%) | +2.61% |
| Betsson 1.24 (82.8%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.2%) | +2.61% |
| NordicBet 1.24 (82.8%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.2%) | +2.61% |
| LeoVegas 1.24 (82.8%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.2%) | +2.61% |
| Coolbet 1.23 (82.9%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.1%) | +1.93% |
| ReBet 1.23 (82.9%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.1%) | +1.93% |
| FanDuel 1.22 (83.0%) | 1xBet 5.95 (17.0%) | +1.24% |