Language:English
New York Liberty v Seattle Storm
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
New York Liberty (Local)
Prediction 74.06%1.35fair odd
EV -2.99%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -9.63%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.31
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%73.93%74.15%74.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.291.291.3181.97%77.75%77.52%76.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Seattle Storm (Visit)
Prediction 25.94%3.85fair odd
EV -1.41%
Edge -0.372%
Kelly -0.505%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.15%26.07%25.85%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.653.703.8030.77%27.41%27.03%26.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: New York Liberty (Local): 74.06%; Seattle Storm (Visit): 25.94%. For Seattle Storm (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.85. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.80, with an expected value of -1.41%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -2.99%E -2.28%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.41%E -0.372%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 22:58 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.41%E -0.372%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-03 22:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.95%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 26.05%EV -4.27%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.31%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 22:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.31%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 22:08 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 21:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-03 21:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.42%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-03 21:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.41%E -0.372%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-03 21:20 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 22:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 22:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 22:58 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 22:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-03 22:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -2.97%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 22:59 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -2.97%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 21:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-08-03 21:59 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.31%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 22:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.31%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 22:45 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.31%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-03 22:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-03 22:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 22:34 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.68%E -4.83%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-03 22:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 21:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-03 21:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.95%E -4.68%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.95%E -4.68%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-03 22:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.95%E -4.68%K -22.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.69%E -5.31%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-03 22:54 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%EV -6.69%E -5.31%K -25.73%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-03 22:59 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -9.65%E -7.91%K -43.87%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.90%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (8)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 22:35 |
| Novig◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 0.8% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.1% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.1% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.1% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.1% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05% | 1.1% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.7% | 2026-08-03 23:00 |
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