Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Liberty v Seattle Storm

Início: 2026-08-03 23:04 UTC

Final: New York Liberty 95–83 Seattle Storm

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

47 casas de apostas (15 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

New York Liberty (Local)

Previsão 74.06%1.35odd justa
EV -2.99%
Vantagem -2.28%
Kelly -9.63%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.31

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
71.59%73.93%74.15%74.85%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.221.291.291.3181.97%77.75%77.52%76.34%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Seattle Storm (Visitante)

Previsão 25.94%3.85odd justa
EV -1.41%
Vantagem -0.372%
Kelly -0.505%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.15%26.07%25.85%28.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.653.703.8030.77%27.41%27.03%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: New York Liberty (Local): 74.06%; Seattle Storm (Visitante): 25.94%. Para Seattle Storm (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.85. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.80, com valor esperado de -1.41%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (47 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -2.99%E -2.28%K -9.63%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -10.49%E -3.04%K -4.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:29
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.41%E -0.372%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 22:58
betano_uk🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.51%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.49%EV -1.41%E -0.372%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-03 22:54
Unibet (UK)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 22:19
Pinnacle🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.95%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 26.05%EV -4.27%E -1.16%K -1.59%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-03 22:55
1xBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.31%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 22:35
Bovada🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.74%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.26%EV -5.31%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 22:08
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 21:14
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-03 21:15
TAB🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -3.73%E -2.87%K -12.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -11.79%E -3.47%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 21:35
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.41%E -0.372%K -0.505%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-03 21:20
Fanatics🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 22:50
DraftKings🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 22:49
Caesars🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 22:58
GTbets🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 22:59
BetUS🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-03 22:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -2.97%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 22:59
LowVig.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.35%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.65%EV -2.97%E -0.794%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-03 23:00
theScore Bet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 21:45
BetAnything🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.15%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.85%EV -4.01%E -1.08%K -1.48%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-03 21:59
ReBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.31%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 22:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.31%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 22:45
MyBookie.ag🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.31%E -1.45%K -2.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-03 22:49
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:19
Bet Right🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.60%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-03 22:44
SportsBet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 23:00
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 22:34
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-03 23:00
Paddy Power🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.47%E -3.46%K -15.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -15.68%E -4.83%K -6.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-03 23:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 23:00
Unibet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 23:00
Bally Bet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 23:00
betPARX🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 23:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 74.55%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.45%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-03 22:59
Betsson🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 21:44
NordicBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.21%E -4.07%K -18.60%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-03 21:44
TABtouch🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.95%E -4.68%K -22.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 23:00
BetRivers🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.95%E -4.68%K -22.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-03 22:59
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -5.95%E -4.68%K -22.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -9.20%E -2.63%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-03 23:00
Fliff🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -6.69%E -5.31%K -25.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -2.71%E -0.723%K -0.986%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-03 22:54
LeoVegas🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 72.37%EV -6.69%E -5.31%K -25.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -14.39%E -4.36%K -6.25%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-03 22:59
PMU (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 74.42%EV -9.65%E -7.91%K -43.87%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.58%EV -7.90%E -2.23%K -3.10%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-03 23:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (8)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Polymarket◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-03 22:35
Novig◎1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%0.8%2026-08-03 23:00
ProphetX◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-08-03 23:00
Matchbook◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-08-03 23:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-08-03 23:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-08-03 23:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-08-03 23:00
Kalshi◎1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53%1.7%2026-08-03 23:00