默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Liberty v Las Vegas Aces

开赛时间: 2026-08-09 16:34 UTC

最终结果: New York Liberty 111–71 Las Vegas Aces

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

48 家博彩公司 (16 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

New York Liberty (主队)

预测 81.93%1.22公平赔率
EV -2.50%
优势 -2.10%
Kelly -13.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.19

博彩公司预测分布
79.51%81.88%81.97%83.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.121.161.171.1989.29%85.90%85.47%84.03%最小值均值中位数最大值

Las Vegas Aces (客队)

预测 18.07%5.54公平赔率
EV +4.78%
优势 +0.824%
Kelly +0.995%
增长率 +0.048%

假设最高赔率为 5.80

博彩公司预测分布
16.55%18.12%18.03%20.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.505.205.205.8022.22%19.24%19.23%17.24%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:New York Liberty (主队):81.93%;Las Vegas Aces (客队):18.07%。 对于“Las Vegas Aces (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.54。 当时有4家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为5.80,对应+4.78%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (48 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼利润率更新时间
BetUS🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 83.45%EV -5.77%E -5.02%K -38.50%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.55%EV +4.78%E +0.824%K +0.995%G +0.048%4.2%2026-08-09 16:25
BetAnything🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 83.21%EV -4.96%E -4.27%K -30.97%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.79%EV +3.87%E +0.674%K +0.816%G +0.032%3.6%2026-08-09 16:30
Bet Victor🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -3.32%E -2.81%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +1.17%E +0.208%K +0.253%G +0.003%2.6%2026-08-09 16:28
betano_uk🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 82.60%EV -3.32%E -2.81%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.40%EV +1.17%E +0.208%K +0.253%G +0.003%2.6%2026-08-09 16:28
Unibet (UK)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.46%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.54%EV -0.641%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-09 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.77%E -5.02%K -38.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.641%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:25
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -5.77%E -5.02%K -38.50%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -0.641%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:28
SportsBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.59%E -5.78%K -47.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.641%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.59%E -5.78%K -47.10%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -0.641%E -0.117%K -0.143%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-09 16:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.27%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.73%EV -1.91%E -0.351%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 16:30
LowVig.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.27%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.43I 18.42%NM 17.73%EV -1.91%E -0.351%K -0.430%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 16:29
Pinnacle🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.25%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.42I 18.45%NM 17.75%EV -2.09%E -0.385%K -0.472%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 16:20
GTbets🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 82.19%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.81%EV -2.45%E -0.453%K -0.556%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-09 16:30
FanDuel🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -5.77%E -5.02%K -38.50%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -2.45%E -0.453%K -0.556%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 16:25
Caesars🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.92%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.08%EV -4.25%E -0.803%K -0.989%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-09 16:07
ReBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -4.96%E -4.27%K -30.97%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV -4.25%E -0.803%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:29
Coolbet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.17%EV -5.77%E -5.02%K -38.50%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.83%EV -4.25%E -0.803%K -0.989%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-09 16:30
DraftKings🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.78%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.22%EV -5.16%E -0.982%K -1.21%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-09 16:09
Bet Right🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.90%EV -4.96%E -4.27%K -30.97%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.10%EV -5.16%E -0.982%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-09 16:30
NordicBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.77%E -5.02%K -38.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.16%E -0.982%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 16:29
Betsson🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.77%E -5.02%K -38.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.16%E -0.982%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 16:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -5.77%E -5.02%K -38.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -5.16%E -0.982%K -1.21%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-09 16:30
1xBet🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 81.53%EV -3.32%E -2.81%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.21I 19.19%NM 18.47%EV -5.88%E -1.13%K -1.40%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-09 16:14
Fanatics🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.06%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 16:09
MyBookie.ag🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.63%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.37%EV -6.06%E -1.17%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 16:30
Unibet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:30
TABtouch🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:30
BetRivers🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:30
Unibet (NL)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:30
Svenska Spel🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:29
Bally Bet🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:30
betPARX🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV -7.87%E -1.54%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-09 16:30
BetMGM🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -3.32%E -2.81%K -18.43%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -9.67%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-09 14:25
888sport🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.67%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 15:05
Betway🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.67%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 16:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.67%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 15:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -9.67%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-09 15:04
Paddy Power🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.59%E -5.78%K -47.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.67%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 16:09
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.59%E -5.78%K -47.10%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -9.67%E -1.93%K -2.42%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-09 16:14
Fliff🎯1.17I 85.47%NM 80.88%EV -4.14%E -3.54%K -24.33%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.12%EV -10.58%E -2.14%K -2.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-09 16:30
Neds🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.50%E -2.10%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.29%E -2.77%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.19I 84.03%NM 80.13%EV -2.50%E -2.10%K -13.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.87%EV -13.29%E -2.77%K -3.50%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-09 14:25
PMU (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -8.23%E -7.35%K -68.61%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -13.29%E -2.77%K -3.50%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-09 16:30
TAB🎯1.18I 84.75%NM 79.58%EV -3.32%E -2.81%K -18.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -16.90%E -3.67%K -4.69%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-09 16:10
LeoVegas🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 79.51%EV -4.96%E -4.27%K -30.97%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -18.71%E -4.16%K -5.34%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 16:29
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (8)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Novig◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.53%6.45I 15.50%NM 15.47%0.2%2026-08-09 16:25
Kalshi◎1.18I 84.75%NM 84.12%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.88%0.7%2026-08-09 16:30
Polymarket◎1.16I 86.21%NM 85.19%6.67I 14.99%NM 14.81%1.2%2026-08-09 16:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.18I 84.75%NM 83.57%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.43%1.4%2026-08-09 16:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-08-09 16:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-08-09 16:30
Matchbook◎1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.6%2026-08-09 16:30
ProphetX◎1.17I 85.47%NM 83.45%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.55%2.4%2026-08-09 16:30